Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

First Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The winter months bring a consistent and powerful pulse of long-period swell to First Point, driven by the North Pacific's relentless storm track. While the dominant swell direction is from the west and west-southwest—not the ideal southern angles—the sheer energy and extended period (averaging 12-13 seconds) allow these waves to wrap into the south-facing beach, offering solid, punchy surf. The real highlight is the wind regime: northerly quadrants (N, NNE, NNW) blow offshore over 55% of the time, grooming the faces and turning even average-sized sets into rippable gems. Expect average heights around 0.8-0.9m, with occasional 1.5-2m pulses when a strong low pressures aligns. This is the prime window for quality surf at First Point.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September - October)

Transitional months see a shift in both swell and wind patterns. The northern storms begin to wane, and the swell direction becomes more southwesterly. Wind ideal conditions drop to 50-51% in April and September, with lighter onshores (WSW, W) mixing in. The average height holds near 0.8-0.9m, but the period dips slightly, and the increased wind variability means fewer clean windows. Still, there are fun days when a southwest swell meets a northerly breeze—those are the moments to be in the water.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer slumps into First Point with a vengeance. The swell height averages just 0.8m and comes almost exclusively from the west, wrapping weakly. The period remains long (12.5-12.7s) but lacks the power to push through the summer heat. The real killer is the wind: ideal offshore conditions drop to a mere 32-45% as the prevailing trade winds blow from the south-southwest and west, creating bumpy, choppy surfaces. Expect small, groveling waves best suited for a longboard or funboard, with rare clean windows as the sun sets.

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Conditions at First Point in February

February: Consistency and Quality

February maintains the winter momentum with an average height of 0.9m and period of 12.0s. Swell distribution is similar to January—W (50.8%) and WSW (34.2%) dominate—but there's a slight uptick in south-southwest energy (2.4%). Wind remains favorable, with ideal conditions 57% of the time. The NNE (13.0%) and N (7.9%) provide the cleanest windows. Beach-break peaks become well-defined as the longer period (10-14s) interacts with the sandbars. Look for early morning glass-offs before the seabreeze kicks in from the SW.

Average Spot conditions at First Point in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at First Point during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at First Point for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at First Point for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at First Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size