Fitzroy Beach - surf spot statistics

Fitzroy Beach in New Zealand is a consistent surf spot with reliable ground swells throughout the year, though the best conditions vary seasonally. The swell is predominantly ground swell, peaking in frequency from February to April (82-83%), while wind swell is generally low, except in December (31%). The mean swell size increases from 1.5–1.6m in summer (January-March) to a peak of 2.1–2.2m from May to October, offering more powerful waves in autumn and winter. However, wind conditions are challenging, with good winds only occurring 14-25% of the time, worst in spring (September-November: 14-16%). The best balance between swell size and wind is likely in April, when ground swell is still strong (82%), average size increases to 1.8m, and good winds reach 25%. Winter months (May-August) bring bigger waves (2.1-2.2m) but persistent onshore winds (77-80% bad conditions). Summer (January-March) has smaller swells but slightly better wind chances (19-24%), making it more suitable for intermediate surfers. Overall, advanced surfers may prefer autumn (April-May) for larger swells and marginally better winds, while summer offers more manageable conditions for less experienced riders. If you prioritize size, winter is powerful but less consistent with clean conditions.

October at Fitzroy Beach delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.1m and a solid period of 12.6s, indicating powerful, well-spaced waves. The dominant swell direction is from the WSW, contributing to 14.35% of waves in the 1-1.5m range and 18.67% in the 1.5-2m range—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Larger swells (2-2.5m+) are frequent from the WSW and WNW, offering heavier waves for experienced riders. Wind conditions are less favorable, with only 14% of days providing ideal offshore winds (light ENE-E or variable). Winds tend to be onshore (W-WSW) at 10-30kph, which can create chop, but the long period helps maintain wave quality. Expect the best sessions early morning before winds pick up. Overall, October is a reliable month for solid surf, though wind management is key.