Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Foz do Arelho seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

Winter is the undisputed heavyweight champion at Foz do Arelho. The North Atlantic explodes with a barrage of extratropical cyclones, sending consistent, powerful swell trains directly into the NW-facing beach. Average swell heights hover around 2.5-2.8m with long periods (12-13s) ensuring plenty of punch. The ideal wind window (S through W) is at its most reliable, peaking at 32% in December and 31% in January. When a low-pressure system slides south and a high-pressure ridge builds behind it, expect offshore easterlies to groom the waves into clean, lined-up walls. This is prime time for head-high to well overhead surf.

Fair Surf Season (March, April, October)

Spring and early autumn offer a transitional window with still decent swell but lower odds of perfect conditions. March averages 2.5m with 12s periods, but ideal wind drops to 23% as the northerly trades begin to strengthen. October sees the first robust swells of the season (2.1m, 11s) and a similar 23% offshore window, though infrequent. These shoulder months can deliver great waves if you watch the charts – often a mix of leftover summer groundswell and early winter juice, with lighter winds gracing the lineup. Good, not great, but with fewer crowds.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer brings a dramatic downturn in both size and quality. The Azores High settles in, reinforcing strong, onshore northerly winds (N and NNW dominate over 50% of the time) that mangle the swell. Average heights drop to 1.5-1.8m, periods shorten to 8-10s, and the ideal wind window dwindles to a paltry 4-14%. Swell directions are overwhelmingly from the NNW-NW quadrant, but these waves are often wind-shortened and chopped. Occasional smaller days with light land breezes (rare) can produce fun waist-high corners, but consistent, quality surf is virtually nonexistent. Best to save this period for flat spells or travel.

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Conditions at Foz do Arelho in October

October: Autumn Surge

October brings a dramatic ramp‑up in surf energy. Average swell height reaches 2.1m and period 11.4s – solid groundswell. The swell rose is dominated by NW (27.1%), WNW (17.4%), and NNW (18.1%). Over 50% of the swell is 1.5-2.5m, providing consistent head‑high to overhead waves. The wind improves notably: ideal offshore occurs 23% of the time, with southerly and westerly winds becoming more frequent as the Azores High weakens. The trade wind northerlies still blow 20% of the time, but the window for clean conditions expands. October is a classic shoulder month – you can score pumping NW swell with light offshore W‑SW winds when a developing storm aligns with a retreating high. Great potential, but still variable.

Average Spot conditions at Foz do Arelho in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Foz do Arelho during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Foz do Arelho for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Foz do Arelho for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Foz do Arelho.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size