Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Ipanema seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the austral winter, the South Atlantic roars to life as deep low-pressure systems track from the Roaring Forties toward the Brazilian coast. This is when Ipanema truly delivers. Swell from the S, SSW, and SW floods the beach with consistent, powerful groundswell averaging 1.4m and period of 11s. The dominant high-pressure cell over the continent funnels offshore winds from the N to NNW, keeping the surface glassy. Over 61% of days in June and July feature ideal conditions, making this the prime window for punchy, rippable waves that often reach the pumping 1.5-2.5m range.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

The shoulder months see a transition in the atmospheric engine. While the South Atlantic still churns out plenty of south-angled swell, the fetch is less organized and average wave heights drop to 1.2-1.4m with periods slipping to 10-10.6s. The wind regime becomes more variable; the percentage of ideal offshore winds drops to around 48-52%. You'll still find fun, solid waves, but expect more days with onshore breezes from S and SW that can chop up the face. April and September offer the best combo of size and reliability, while March and October are more hit-or-miss but can deliver epic sessions when the synoptic setup aligns.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

The austral summer is dominated by a semi-permanent high-pressure ridge over the South Atlantic that weakens storm activity. Swell becomes less frequent and smaller, averaging just 1.1-1.3m with periods around 9.5-9.8s. Most waves arrive as weaker S to SE swell, often too small or mushy for a good ride. Though the wind is still favorable around 50-59% of the time (thanks to persistent land-breezes from N/NE), the lack of swell energy means many days are just groveling on micro waves. December and January are particularly slow, but February can see a slight uptick in period as early autumn storms begin to stir.

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Conditions at Ipanema in May

May: Prime Time Arrives

May is the dawn of Ipanema's prime surf season. The average swell height reaches 1.5m, and the period stretches to 11.0s – powerful, long-period groundswell. The swell direction chart tells the story: S swell dominates at 36.5%, with a significant 13.4% in the 1.5-2m range and 4.9% from 2-2.5m. SSE is second at 25.4%, followed by SE at 15.8%. The SSW contribution jumps to 9.2%, bringing more direct south energy. The wind pattern shifts as the continental high strengthens: ideal offshore winds from N/NE/ENE make up 36% of the time (N at 6.3%, NNE 7.3%, NE 8.9%, ENE 13.5%). The critical factor is that onshore south winds drop to just 7.5% combined (S/SSW/SW). The overall ideal wind percentage is 55%, but the mornings are often glassy. Wave heights above 1m now represent 75% of all swells, with 1-1.5m at 28.3% and 1.5-2m at 24.4%. This is the month when Ipanema starts pumping, with consistent sets and offshore wind windows that create peaky, clean lines.

Average Spot conditions at Ipanema in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ipanema during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ipanema for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ipanema for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ipanema.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size