Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Johanna seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - September)

The Southern Ocean fires on all cylinders from May through September, delivering Johanna's most consistent and powerful swell. Average wave heights climb to the 2.6-2.9m range with periods hovering around 13 seconds – that's long period, groundswell territory. The dominant SW and WSW energy slams straight into this SSW-facing beach, producing hollow, rippable walls. Winter's strong frontal systems and deep low-pressure cells spinning up near Antarctica are the driving force. Offshore winds from the N, NNE, and NE occur roughly 30-35% of the time, often aligning with post-frontal high-pressure ridges. When it all comes together, you get pumping, firing surf with clean, offshore texture.

Fair Surf Season (April & October)

April and October serve as transitional windows where the swell quality remains high but consistency and wind reliability take a small step back. April still pumps out an average 2.5m swell at 12.7s, with a solid 33% offshore wind score – one of the best wind percentages of the year. October sees the swell start to wind down (2.7m, 12.6s) and the offshore wind window drops to 25%, but the predominant SW/WSW swell still offers plenty of fun, solid waves. These months can dish out epic days when a late-season storm aligns with a northerly breeze.

Low Surf Season (November - March)

The summer months from November through March bring the smallest average surf of the year (2.3-2.4m, 11.7-12.0s), though even these numbers are respectable by many standards. The real issue is the dominance of onshore winds from the S, SW, and WSW – the same directions that bring the swell – which create bumpy, chop-ridden conditions. Ideal offshore wind percentages drop to 22-25%. The swell still rolls in from the SW and WSW, but periods are shorter and the wave heights often sit in the 1-2m fun-size range. It's not a write-off: early mornings or days with a strong inland heat trough can produce brief offshore windows, but overall consistency and quality take a seasonal dip.

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Conditions at Johanna in January

January: Summer's Sweep

Deep into the Australian summer, January sees an average swell of 2.3m at 11.8s – solid for a summer month, but the quality is heavily dependent on wind. Swell energy is overwhelmingly from the SW (38%) and WSW (12%), which is right in Johanna's sweet spot. The problem is that the same directions also dominate the wind: SW (10%) and WSW (9.5%) blow onshore, creating lumpy, wind-affected waves. The offshore window comes from the NE to ENE quadrants, which together account for about 10% of the wind, mostly light to moderate. That leaves a mere 23% of the time with truly ideal conditions. When the stars align – a high-pressure ridge stalls over the Tasman, pumping a light ENE breeze – the beach lights up with clean, long-period lines.

Average Spot conditions at Johanna in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Johanna during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Johanna for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Johanna for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Johanna.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size