Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Kate's seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June - September)

The southwest monsoon unleashes its fury across the Indian Ocean, generating consistent south-southwest groundswell that marches right into this east-southeast facing reef pass. Average wave heights hover in the 1.2-1.3m range with periods steadily climbing into the 9-second zone – that's punchy, rippable juice. Meanwhile, persistent westerly winds (W, WNW, NW) blow offshore, grooming the face into clean walls. These months deliver the highest reliability of the year, with frequent sessions in the fun-to-solid category.

Fair Surf Season (May and October)

Shoulder months of the monsoon see a transition in both swell and wind. Swell from the south-southwest is still present but often mixed with less favorable directions, and wave heights average around 1.1m. Wind becomes more variable, but a solid chunk of time still offers offshore westerlies. Conditions can be excellent when a good swell lines up, but consistency drops – so pick your days wisely.

Low Surf Season (November - April)

The northeast monsoon dominates, bringing onshore winds from the east and northeast that chop up the surface. Swell is predominantly short-period (7-8s) and small (0.8-1.0m) from the east-northeast, which both opposes the optimal swell direction and blows directly onshore. While the occasional west swell or light wind window can salvage a session, the overall quality is poor. Most days you’ll be fighting bumpy, low-energy conditions.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Kate's in January

January: Peak of the Northeast Monsoon

The trade winds are in full swing, with winds from the NE (37%) and ENE (33%) blasting across the Maldives. That puts the wind squarely onshore at Kate’s, killing wave faces for 87% of the month. Swell is almost entirely from the ENE (61.5%) and E (23.7%) – directions that not only land onshore but also wrap in with short, weak period (avg 7.1s). Wave heights average 1.1m, with most energy in the 1-1.5m range, but the texture is choppy and disorganized. A few rare WNW/NW wind shifts can salvage a session, but expect mostly poor surf.

Average Spot conditions at Kate's in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kate's during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kate's for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kate's for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kate's.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size