Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Kealia Beach seasonal overview

Kealia Beach experiences consistent swell year-round, with primarily ground swell dominating in winter and more wind swell in summer. The best months for surfers are from November to February, when ground swell makes up 51-70% of the waves, mean swell sizes range from 2.1m to 2.2m, and wind conditions are relatively less unfavorable (though still mostly onshore). December stands out with the largest average swell size (2.2m) and decent ground swell influence (60%), despite only 15% of days having good winds. January follows closely with 70% ground swell and 2.1m waves, though wind conditions are poor 77% of the time. The summer months (May-September) see smaller swells (1.6-1.7m), dominated by wind swell (59-72%), and nearly constant bad winds (88-94%). While surfable waves are always present, the ideal balance of size, ground swell purity, and marginally better wind odds occurs in winter, particularly December-January, despite the prevalent onshore winds requiring patience for cleaner sessions. Spring and fall offer transitional conditions, with October-November providing a slight bump in ground swell and size compared to summer.

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Conditions at Kealia Beach in January

January at Kealia Beach offers solid surfing conditions with an average swell height of 2.1m and a long-period swell averaging 12.3s, which typically translates to powerful, well-formed waves. The dominant swell directions are NW and NNW, contributing the largest share of rideable waves, especially in the 1.5-2.5m range. These swells are clean and organized, ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Wind conditions are favorable 23% of the time, with offshore or light cross-shore winds, predominantly from the NE to E sectors. However, stronger onshore winds from ENE and NE can occasionally disrupt conditions. The spot handles larger swells well, but the frequency of waves over 2.5m is relatively low, keeping it manageable for most surfers. Overall, January is a reliable month with consistent NW energy, though wind variability means timing sessions around optimal wind windows is key for the best experience.

Average Spot conditions at Kealia Beach in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kealia Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kealia Beach for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kealia Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kealia Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size