Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Kuta seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March – May)

The transition from the wet to the dry season brings Kuta’s most consistent combination of solid, long-period SSW groundswell and reliable offshore winds. With average wave heights hovering between 1.5 and 1.7m and periods often exceeding 13 seconds, the setup is ideal for rippable, powerful surf. The percentage of offshore wind (N, NNE, NE, ENE) peaks in April at 56% and remains high in March and May, meaning clean morning glass-offs are common. This is the window when the entire bay lines up with well-shaped, peeling waves that work from mid-tide through to high tide.

Fair Surf Season (June – August)

The southern hemisphere winter unleashes its strongest groundswell, with average heights pushing 2.0m and periods up to 14.4s. The swell is absolutely pumping—consistent, powerful, and often XL. However, the trade winds strengthen from the southeast (ESE, SE), blowing cross-shore and occasionally onshore, which degrades the surface quality. Ideal wind percentages drop to 20–36%, making it a gamble on wind direction. Early mornings and late afternoons can still deliver clean, heavy waves, especially when a ridge of high pressure nudges the wind toward the north. Expect some chop and current, but also adrenaline.

Low Surf Season (September – February)

This period is dominated by the monsoon transition and stronger onshore flow from the west and northwest. Swell energy remains moderate to good (1.5–1.9m, 12–14s), but the wind is frequently out of the W, WNW, or WSW—all onshore for Kuta’s SSW-facing beach. Ideal wind percentages bottom out at just 17% in September and October. While the Indian Ocean still produces long-period swells, the surface is often messy and choppy. The best chance for clean waves comes during rare southerly swell events coinciding with a brief northerly wind shift. Surf is rideable, but don’t expect perfection.

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Conditions at Kuta in September

September: Swell Holding, Wind Still Onshore

September continues the winter pattern with an average swell of 1.9m and a 14.2s period. The swell direction is overwhelmingly SSW (78.3%), with a notable 26.9% of those waves in the 2–2.5m range. This is classic Kuta groundswell. However, ideal wind percentage remains low at 17%. The wind is primarily from the SE (47.6%) and ESE (28.8%), with significant amounts in the 20–30kph range (15% from SE). This keeps the surface messy for most of the day. Occasional shifts to the NNE or NE happen, but they are rare. The swell quality is high, but the wind continues to be the bottleneck. Look for windows where the southeast wind slackens or shifts north—these are the golden hours.

Average Spot conditions at Kuta in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kuta during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kuta for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kuta for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kuta.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size