Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Leblon seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The austral winter fires up the South Atlantic, and Leblon reaps the rewards. As deep lows track north of the Antarctic pack ice, they send consistent, long-period S and SSE groundswells marching toward Rio. May sees the swell engine really start to hum, with average heights climbing to 1.5m and periods stretching past 11 seconds. June and July are the peak months, offering the highest percentage of offshore winds from the north (N, NW, NNW) – over 57% of the time the breeze is clean. This is prime time: expect punchy, well-shaped waves in the 1-2m range, with the occasional pumping 2m+ set on the best days. The combo of solid swell and favorable wind creates firing conditions along this south-facing beach.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

These transitional months bring a mix of quality and compromise. March and April still see decent S swell from late-season storms, with average heights around 1.2-1.4m and periods in the 10-11 second range. However, the wind is more variable. Frontal systems passing south of Brazil can swing the breeze onshore from the S or SE, dropping the ideal wind percentage to around 48%. When a high-pressure system settles over the continent, expect light offshore northerlies and clean, fun waves. September and October see a similar pattern – the beginning of the spring transition. Swell remains solid in September (1.5m avg) but onshore winds become more frequent as the ITCZ shifts. October is the toughest month, with only 38% offshore wind. Patience and a keen eye on the forecast are key during these months.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

Summer settles in over Rio, and the surf takes a mellow turn. The South Atlantic storm track weakens and shifts poleward, resulting in smaller, shorter-period swell. Average heights drop to 1.1-1.3m and periods hover around 9.5-10 seconds. While there are still pulses of S swell from occasional cold fronts, they are less frequent and smaller. On the bright side, summer also brings a higher chance of light offshore winds, especially in December and January when the wind blows from the north up to 52% of the time. The waves become fun-sized and rippable, perfect for logging or groveling on a shortboard, but don't expect any pumping, firing days. It's a great time for beginners or for those looking to work on their technique in smaller, cleaner conditions.

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Conditions at Leblon in July

July: Mid-Winter Consistency

July keeps the winter momentum going. The average swell remains 1.4m with a period of 10.8s – still very solid. S and SSE directions combine for over 50% of the swell, with a good mix of 1.5-2m and 2-2.5m sets. The SSW quadrant also contributes 4.5% in the 1.5-2m range and 4.0% in the 2-2.5m range. The wind is only slightly less favorable than June, with 57% ideal conditions. Northerly and northeasterly winds dominate, often blowing lightly offshore in the morning before the sea breeze kicks in from the east. The consistency is remarkable – almost every day offers rideable waves in the 1-2m range, and many days produce overhead, powerful surf. July is a go-to month for a surf trip to Rio.

Average Spot conditions at Leblon in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Leblon during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Leblon for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Leblon for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Leblon.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size