Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Leja da Palmeira seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic winter pattern delivers consistent, powerful groundswells to Leja da Palmeira from October through March. Average swell heights range from 2.0m to 2.6m with long periods averaging 11-13 seconds, thanks to frequent low-pressure systems tracking across the Atlantic. The spot benefits from a high percentage of offshore wind days (38-49%), often from the east quadrant, which groom the WNW-NW swells into clean, lined-up waves. This is prime time for legitimate surf, with solid 1.5-2.5m sets and occasional overhead-plus swells when the jet stream aligns.

Fair Surf Season (April, September)

Shoulder months April and September offer a transition. Average swell drops to around 1.6-1.9m and periods shorten to 10-11 seconds. While the swell is smaller, the mix of NW and W energy can still produce fun, rippable waves, especially when early-season autumn lows or late winter leftovers coincide with offshore easterlies. Ideal wind frequencies hover around 30%.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer brings a dramatic lull. Average heights fall to 1.4-1.6m and periods dip below 10 seconds, often into the 8-9 second range. Swell becomes short-period and windswell-dominated from the NW quadrant. More critically, the percentage of ideal offshore winds drops to just 13-24%, with strong northerly and NNW winds (onshore/alongshore) prevailing. Waves are generally small and messy, making this a less reliable period for quality surf. However, occasional small groundswells from distant storms can still provide grovel-worthy sessions if the wind behaves.

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Conditions at Leja da Palmeira in January

January: The Heart of Winter Powerhouse

January delivers the largest average swell of the year at 2.6m with a powerful 12.8s period. The North Atlantic is in full swing, with extratropical storms churning out consistent WNW (22%) and NW (17%) groundswells that drive directly into Leja da Palmeira's west-facing coastline. With nearly half the days (48%) offering ideal offshore winds – often crisp easterly flows from the interior – the conditions align for epic, long-period waves. Heights regularly push into the 1.5-2.5m range, and the occasional XXL pulse above 2.5m can show up. The dominant wind regime is light to moderate from the east and northeast, keeping the surface glassy. However, when lows pass close, strong WSW or NW onshore winds can quickly chop up the lineup, so timing is key.

Average Spot conditions at Leja da Palmeira in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Leja da Palmeira during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Leja da Palmeira for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Leja da Palmeira for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Leja da Palmeira.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size