Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Little Wanganui seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June - August)

The heart of the Southern Hemisphere winter roars to life, bringing consistent, powerful W to WNW swells that wrap perfectly into Little Wanganui's NW-facing beach. Combined with the highest percentage of offshore ESE/SE winds, this period delivers pumping conditions. Average swell heights hover around 2.1m with periods averaging 12.4s, meaning solid, long-period groundswells dominate. The Tasman Sea storms are in full swing, and when high-pressure systems park themselves to the south, we get clean, offshore flow. This is the prime window for the heaviest, most consistent surf of the year.

Fair Surf Season (April - May, September - October)

The shoulder seasons offer a blend of good swell and moderate wind conditions. In autumn (April-May), the transition begins: swell sizes are still solid (1.9-2.1m) with long periods, and the wind becomes increasingly favorable, peaking at 49% ideal in May. Spring (September-October) sees a gradual decline in swell consistency, but still plenty of W swell with periods around 12.2s. However, wind patterns become more mixed, with a higher chance of onshore westerlies. These months require a keen eye on the forecast, but often deliver excellent sessions between storm fronts.

Low Surf Season (November - March)

The summer months and early autumn bring the smallest and least consistent surf. Swell heights average 1.6-1.9m with shorter periods (11.3-11.9s). The dominant winds shift to a more westerly component, with onshore winds from W-NW becoming frequent. December is particularly challenging with only 25% ideal wind. While there are still fun, rippable days, especially when a tropical cyclone or unusual swell event occurs, the overall quality is inconsistent. Light wind mornings can offer clean, small waves, but the main game is elsewhere.

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Conditions at Little Wanganui in February

February: Slightly Better, But Still Summer

February offers a slight uptick in quality as the swell period stretches to 11.9s and the frequency of offshore winds increases to 34%. The swell window remains locked on WSW and W, delivering consistent, fun-sized waves. However, the wind is still a coin flip—westerly onshore flow dominates when lows track close. The best chance for clean surf comes with a strong high settling over the South Island, funneling ESE breezes. It's a month of hopeful early mornings.

Average Spot conditions at Little Wanganui in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Little Wanganui during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Little Wanganui for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Little Wanganui for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Little Wanganui.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size