Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Llorente seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - November)

As the northeast monsoon begins to weaken and the first distant storms from the North Pacific send pulses of long-period swell toward the Philippine coast, October and November deliver the best all-around conditions at Llorente. Average wave heights hover in the 1.1-1.5m range with periods often pushing into the 10-second zone, offering rippable waves on a consistent basis. More importantly, the trade winds that plague the winter months start to slacken, and the offshore flow from the SSW to W quadrants becomes more frequent — especially in October, when ideal wind occurs over 35% of the time. This is the sweet spot when you can score clean, punchy surf without the constant onshore battle.

Fair Surf Season (December - March)

Winter delivers the biggest swell of the year at Llorente. From December through March, average wave heights range from 1.5m to 1.8m, with periods in the 9-10 second range and occasional long-period pulses exceeding 12 seconds. The dominant swell direction is ENE to NE, right in the optimal window for the beach's Ost-Nord-Ost orientation. However, the northeast monsoon is in full swing, and onshore winds from the NNE to E blow relentlessly, ruining wave quality more than 95% of the time. Opportunities do arise when a weak high-pressure system stalls or a tropical depression passes to the south, allowing brief windows of offshore SSW to W winds. These are the days to watch — when the combination of heavy, powerful swell and glassy conditions can produce pumping, heavy waves in the 1.5-2.5m range.

Low Surf Season (April - September)

The summer months bring a dramatic shift in the surf regime. The northeast monsoon collapses, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) takes over. While the wind becomes much more favorable — ideal offshore flow from the SSW to W quadrants peaks at over 60% in August and September — the swell energy plummets. Average wave heights drop to 0.7-0.9m, with periods averaging 8.6-9.7 seconds. The dominant swell direction rotates to more from the E and ESE, which is outside the optimal window. Most days are characterized by small, groveling surf with occasional fun-sized waves when distant typhoons produce long-period pulses. The best bets during this lean season are early morning sessions when seabreezes are light, or tracking tropical cyclones that can deliver brief, punchy swells from the NE quadrant before the wind shifts onshore.

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Conditions at Llorente in October

October: The Peak of Quality

October is the crown jewel of the surf calendar at Llorente. Average wave height climbs to 1.1m with a period of 10.3s, and the swell direction is near-perfect: NE (45%) and ENE (35%) deliver most of the energy in the 0.5-1.5m range, with plenty of 1.5-2m sets on the bigger days. Most importantly, the offshore wind window remains wide open — 37% of the time winds are from the SSW-W quadrants, often light to moderate. The combination of solid groundswell from early-season North Pacific storms and the waning Habagat means you can find pumping, clean waves on a regular basis. Morning sessions are particularly sweet, with the wind often calm or light westerly. This is the month to plan your trip to Llorente.

Average Spot conditions at Llorente in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Llorente during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Llorente for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Llorente for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Llorente.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size