Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Maria's seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The winter months deliver the most consistent and powerful surf of the year at Maria's. Average wave heights peak at 1.5-1.6m with periods of 10 seconds, driven by a strengthening North Atlantic jet stream and the expansion of the Azores High. This setup funnels strong ENE to NE trade winds across the basin, generating a nearly continuous stream of windswell and moderate groundswell from the east-northeast. While Maria's faces West-South-West, these easterly swells wrap effectively around the local headland, producing clean, rippable waves. The offshore wind alignment is ideal, with NE through E winds blowing offshore over 65% of the time, often at light to moderate speeds. This combination of shoulder-high to overhead sets and glassy conditions defines the premium window for surfing.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September, October)

The shoulder months see a gradual transition in swell character. Swell heights drop to 1.1-1.3m and periods shorten to 8.7-9.6 seconds as the jet stream retreats northward and the Azores High weakens. The predominant ENE-to-E swell remains, but the energy is less consistent and often smaller. However, the percentage of clean offshore winds climbs to 72-82%, meaning when there is any rideable swell, conditions are often pristine. These months offer the best chance for small-scale ripping on lower tides and lighter winds, making them a solid bet for loggers and grovelers.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is the quietest period at Maria's. Average swell heights dwindle to just 1.0m and periods drop to 6.7-7.3 seconds, with up to 91% of the swell coming from the ENE quadrant. These are pure short-period windswell generated by the persistent but weak trade winds. While the wind is excellent (offshore over 86% of the time), the wave energy is marginal – mostly waist-high or smaller, with a mushy, unorganized texture. This is the season for high-volume boards and longboard cruising, but don't expect any real power. June, July, and August are best reserved for beginners or a sunny paddle.

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Conditions at Maria's in January

January: Prime Winter Swell

The North Atlantic roars to life in January, delivering the largest average swells of the year at 1.5m and a solid 10-second period. The dominant swell direction is from the ENE and NE, making up nearly 60% of the total energy. This is generated by strong high-latitude storms and the tight pressure gradient between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High. The offshore wind window is wide open: 65% of the time the wind blows from NE through E, with the strongest component from the ENE at 10-20 kph, ensuring clean, groomed faces. While the direct SW-W swell window is almost nonexistent, the persistent NE swell wraps cleanly into the spot, offering chest-to-head-high sets with plenty of punch. The main drawback is occasional stronger ENE windswell that can become bumpy, but the ratio is heavily in favor of quality.

Average Spot conditions at Maria's in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Maria's during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Maria's for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Maria's for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Maria's.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size