Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Maria's seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The winter months deliver the most consistent and powerful surf of the year at Maria's. Average wave heights peak at 1.5-1.6m with periods of 10 seconds, driven by a strengthening North Atlantic jet stream and the expansion of the Azores High. This setup funnels strong ENE to NE trade winds across the basin, generating a nearly continuous stream of windswell and moderate groundswell from the east-northeast. While Maria's faces West-South-West, these easterly swells wrap effectively around the local headland, producing clean, rippable waves. The offshore wind alignment is ideal, with NE through E winds blowing offshore over 65% of the time, often at light to moderate speeds. This combination of shoulder-high to overhead sets and glassy conditions defines the premium window for surfing.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September, October)

The shoulder months see a gradual transition in swell character. Swell heights drop to 1.1-1.3m and periods shorten to 8.7-9.6 seconds as the jet stream retreats northward and the Azores High weakens. The predominant ENE-to-E swell remains, but the energy is less consistent and often smaller. However, the percentage of clean offshore winds climbs to 72-82%, meaning when there is any rideable swell, conditions are often pristine. These months offer the best chance for small-scale ripping on lower tides and lighter winds, making them a solid bet for loggers and grovelers.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is the quietest period at Maria's. Average swell heights dwindle to just 1.0m and periods drop to 6.7-7.3 seconds, with up to 91% of the swell coming from the ENE quadrant. These are pure short-period windswell generated by the persistent but weak trade winds. While the wind is excellent (offshore over 86% of the time), the wave energy is marginal – mostly waist-high or smaller, with a mushy, unorganized texture. This is the season for high-volume boards and longboard cruising, but don't expect any real power. June, July, and August are best reserved for beginners or a sunny paddle.

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Conditions at Maria's in September

September: Turning Point

September is a bridge month as the fall pattern begins to stir. Average swell height rises to 1.1m and period jumps to 9.1 seconds. The swell distribution shifts: NE (34%) and ENE (34%) dominate, but there is an increase in N-NNE swell (15%) and even some NNW (2%), indicating the first distant northern swells arriving. The longer-period energy means waves start to have more push. Offshore wind percentage stays high at 82%, making conditions clean. Wave heights are mostly in the 0.5-1.5m range, but the increased period (9-10 seconds) makes the surf punchier. Maria's begins to see more consistent shoulder-high sets with occasional bigger pulses. This is a great month for those looking to escape summer flatness.

Average Spot conditions at Maria's in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Maria's during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Maria's for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Maria's for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Maria's.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size