Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Mavericks seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

Winter at Mavericks is when the North Pacific really fires up. The Aleutian Low intensifies, sending a relentless barrage of long-period WNW and W groundswells towards the California coast. With an average swell height of 1.9m and periods of 13-13.2s, these are powerful, heavy waves. Critically, the offshore wind frequency peaks at 49-53% from November through January, with strong N to ENE winds grooming the faces. This is the prime window for charging the big, cold-water slabs. The combination of massive swell and clean offshore flow creates the infamous 'Mavs' conditions that attract the world's best big-wave surfers. While direct S-SW swell is rare, the dominant W-WNW energy refracts perfectly into the cove, producing steep, barreling waves.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September - October)

As spring arrives, the storm track weakens. Average swell heights drop to 1.6-1.7m and periods shorten to 10.7-11.8s. The dominant WNW swell becomes less consistent, and offshore wind frequency falls to 7-16%. While you still get rideable waves, the quality is far more variable, often accompanied by onshore afternoon breezes from the W or SW. October marks the transition back towards winter, with swell and wind quality improving (29% offshore). September can see long-period remnants of early-season storms or tropical systems, but winds are often cross-shore from the WNW. These months offer occasional good sessions but require careful timing as the balance between swell and clean wind is delicate.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is largely a write-off for big-wave hunting at Mavericks. The North Pacific high pressure dominates, shifting the storm track far north. Average swell heights bottom out at 1.2-1.3m with short periods (10.1-10.3s). Offshore wind is virtually non-existent (2-5% of the time). The swell is dominated by weak, small WNW swell, often chopped up by sea breezes from the W and WSW. The combination of small, weak waves and mostly onshore winds means conditions are rarely good for this demanding break. This is the time to travel to more exposed, swell-catching spots or focus on smaller, more protected breaks that handle the summer conditions.

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Conditions at Mavericks in December

December: Peak Season Arrives

December is the apex of the big-wave calendar. Average swell height rises to 1.9m with a period of 13.0s, and offshore wind frequency is 53%, the highest of the year. The swell is heavily weighted towards WNW (47.6%) and W (24.6%), but there is also a welcome uptick in WSW (5.0%) and even some SW (1.8%) energy – closer to the optimal direction for the break. Winds are dominated by the N-ENE quadrant (combined 32.4%), with NE (9.9%) and NNE (8.6%) providing true offshore flow. The result is a month of frequent, powerful, and clean waves. Mavericks fires with consistency, offering the slabs that define the spot. Whether you are a spectator or a charger, December is the month when everything comes together. It's the pinnacle of the season and a must-watch for all surf fans.

Average Spot conditions at Mavericks in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mavericks during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mavericks for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mavericks for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mavericks.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size