Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Meio da Baja seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these six months, delivering a consistent barrage of powerful groundswells from the NW to W quadrant. Average swell heights range from 2.1m to 2.8m with periods frequently exceeding 12s, translating to firing, pumping waves at Meio da Baja. The percentage of ideal offshore wind (from S, SSW, SW, WSW) peaks between 25% and 34%, thanks to frequent high-pressure systems over mainland Europe that funnel light southern winds. This is the prime window for scoring clean, groomed waves; however, expect occasional onshore northerly winds (N, NW, NNW) during storm passages. The NAO is often negative, steering low-pressure tracks directly into Portugal, maximizing swell energy. Plan your trip for these months to experience the spot at its best.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September)

Transitional months where winter's punch fades and summer's lull hasn't fully set in. Average swell heights drop to 1.7-2.1m and periods shorten to 9.9-11.2s, producing fun, rippable waves but lacking the raw power of winter. The Azores High begins to build, increasing northerly winds that are onshore at Meio da Baja. Ideal wind percentages hover around 15-17%, making clean surf a less frequent but rewarding find. Swell direction remains primarily NW and NNW, often wrapping in with decent shape. You can score good sessions if you time the southerly wind windows or dawn patrol when wind is lighter.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer settles in with a persistent northerly wind regime driven by a strong Azores High. Average swell heights bottom out at 1.5-1.6m with periods of 8.6-9.2s, resulting in small, groveling waves that are often choppy due to the dominant onshore flow from N and NNW (combined over 65% of all wind observations). Ideal offshore wind conditions are scarce, occurring only 5-10% of the time. Swell energy is minimal, and the few waves that arrive are short-period and lack punch. This is the off-season for serious surfers; only the occasional south-wind event or a rare longer-period NW swell can salvage a session. Best suited for beginners or travellers who just want to be in the water.

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Conditions at Meio da Baja in September

September: Hint of Autumn Revival

September signals the beginning of the transition back to winter, with average swell height rising to 1.7m and period 10.5s. While still dominated by NNW (33.1%) and NW (33.5%) swells, the arrival of longer-period energy (10-14s) brings more powerful, long period waves. Wind conditions improve slightly: ideal offshore wind increases to 15% as the Azores High weakens, allowing more frequent tropical or southerly flows. However, N and NNW winds still blow over 51% of the time, so clean windows remain limited. The first early-season North Atlantic lows start to form, sending pulse swells that can surprise. September offers a glimmer of hope for patient surfers – a few days of chest-to-head-high waves with offshore winds can make the month worthwhile.

Average Spot conditions at Meio da Baja in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Meio da Baja during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Meio da Baja for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Meio da Baja for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Meio da Baja.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size