Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Moshi Moshi seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The NE monsoon delivers a pulse of energy, but unfortunately from a largely unfavourable direction. Swell originates from the NE to ENE, which is partially blocked or produces weak, refracted waves at Moshi Moshi's NNW exposure. Average wave heights hover around 1.0-1.3m with periods of 9-10s, offering some rideable but often weak, lined-up sets. Offshore wind windows are limited as the predominant NE trades are onshore, but occasional S to SW shifts can clean things up, especially early mornings. This period delivers the most consistent swell, even if quality is often compromised.

Fair Surf Season (April - May)

The transition between monsoons brings a significant increase in offshore wind potential from the S to SW quadrant. Wind ideal percentages climb to 69-73%, meaning many days with light to moderate offshore breezes. Swell drops to 0.7-0.9m on average, with periods around 9s. The dominant ENE swell becomes smaller and weaker, but the cleaner conditions can make even small waves more fun. This is the go-to window for glassy, small-wave sessions.

Low Surf Season (June - October)

The SW monsoon dominates, with winds predominantly from the S to W, which are offshore for Moshi Moshi. However, swell energy plummets to an average of 0.5-0.7m. The fetch is limited and swell periods are short (8-10s). While the wind is often offshore, the complete lack of significant swell means mostly flat or micro conditions. Brief windows of opportunity occur when a typhoon or tropical storm in the South China Sea sends longer-period WNW to NW swell, but these events are rare and unpredictable. For the most part, it's a time for rest and travel.

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Conditions at Moshi Moshi in October

October: Turning Point, Longer Periods

A turning point as the NE monsoon begins to strengthen. Swell height 0.7m, period 10.2s (longest of the year). Swell from NE (43.6%) and ENE (28.8%) dominates, but there is also N (3.7%) and NNW (4.8%). While still small, the longer period and occasional NW component can produce some decent waves if the wind cooperates. Wind ideal is 44%, with offshore S winds possible. This is the start of the best window for quality, albeit small, surf.

Average Spot conditions at Moshi Moshi in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Moshi Moshi during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Moshi Moshi for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Moshi Moshi for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Moshi Moshi.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size