Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Nusa Dua seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The heart of the Indonesian wet season delivers a dream scenario for Nusa Dua. From November through March, the northwest monsoon pumps consistent offshore winds out of the N to NW quadrants, grooming the southeast-facing beach breaks into pristine form. Swell energy remains solid thanks to a steady diet of long-period groundswells generated by storms in the Southern Ocean. Average wave heights hover in the 1.6-1.7m range with periods often exceeding 12 seconds, producing rippable, punchy waves that are both fun and powerful. Ideal wind frequencies peak at 60-63% in December-February, making this the undisputed prime window for quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & October)

The transitional months of April and October represent a mixed bag. The monsoon is shifting, and while the Indian Ocean still sends long-period swell (averaging 1.8m and 13.8s in October, 1.7m and 13.8s in April), the wind regime becomes less reliable. Offshore wind frequency drops to 11-19%, with increasing onshore flow from the S and SE during the day. Morning sessions can still score clean conditions before the sea breeze kicks in, but the overall consistency takes a hit. These are months of margin – patience is key, but when a cold front passes and the winds align, the waves can be world-class.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

From May through September, the southeast monsoon firmly establishes itself over Bali. This brings a near-constant onslaught of strong onshore winds from the SE to S directions, directly hitting Nusa Dua and trashing the wave quality. Offshore wind frequency plummets to a paltry 0-3%. While the swell is at its most powerful – average heights of 2.0-2.2m and periods of 14-14.4s – the wind-ruined conditions make it nearly impossible to find a clean wave. The rare day with a brief lull or a lucky window of N quadrant breeze can turn on some heavy, hollow moments, but for the vast majority of the time, this is a period to avoid for Nusa Dua. It is, however, the peak season for exposed south coast breaks elsewhere on the island.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Nusa Dua in January

January: Peak Northwest Monsoon Gold

January represents the absolute peak of the northwest monsoon, delivering a stunning 63% of offshore wind conditions. The wind primarily comes from the W and WNW at 10-20kph, providing light to moderate offshore flow that grooms the swell to perfection. Swell is dominated by SSW (36%) and SW (47%) directions, with the majority of waves landing in the 1-2m range and an average period of 12.4s. This translates to fun, solid, and rippable surf most days, with the occasional pumping 1.5-2.5m sets when a stronger SSW pulse arrives. The combination of long-period groundswell and consistent offshore breeze makes January a premier month for all abilities at Nusa Dua.

Average Spot conditions at Nusa Dua in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nusa Dua during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nusa Dua for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nusa Dua for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nusa Dua.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size