Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Nusa Dua seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The heart of the Indonesian wet season delivers a dream scenario for Nusa Dua. From November through March, the northwest monsoon pumps consistent offshore winds out of the N to NW quadrants, grooming the southeast-facing beach breaks into pristine form. Swell energy remains solid thanks to a steady diet of long-period groundswells generated by storms in the Southern Ocean. Average wave heights hover in the 1.6-1.7m range with periods often exceeding 12 seconds, producing rippable, punchy waves that are both fun and powerful. Ideal wind frequencies peak at 60-63% in December-February, making this the undisputed prime window for quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & October)

The transitional months of April and October represent a mixed bag. The monsoon is shifting, and while the Indian Ocean still sends long-period swell (averaging 1.8m and 13.8s in October, 1.7m and 13.8s in April), the wind regime becomes less reliable. Offshore wind frequency drops to 11-19%, with increasing onshore flow from the S and SE during the day. Morning sessions can still score clean conditions before the sea breeze kicks in, but the overall consistency takes a hit. These are months of margin – patience is key, but when a cold front passes and the winds align, the waves can be world-class.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

From May through September, the southeast monsoon firmly establishes itself over Bali. This brings a near-constant onslaught of strong onshore winds from the SE to S directions, directly hitting Nusa Dua and trashing the wave quality. Offshore wind frequency plummets to a paltry 0-3%. While the swell is at its most powerful – average heights of 2.0-2.2m and periods of 14-14.4s – the wind-ruined conditions make it nearly impossible to find a clean wave. The rare day with a brief lull or a lucky window of N quadrant breeze can turn on some heavy, hollow moments, but for the vast majority of the time, this is a period to avoid for Nusa Dua. It is, however, the peak season for exposed south coast breaks elsewhere on the island.

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Conditions at Nusa Dua in November

November: On the Upswing

November sees further improvement with 28% offshore wind frequency. The wind pattern becomes more mixed, with light winds from the N and NW becoming more common. The dominant wind is still from the ESE (17%) and SE (16%), but the W to NW sector now accounts for a combined 14%. Swell averages 1.6m with a period of 13.2s. The swell is overwhelmingly from the SSW (84%), with a good portion in the 1-2m range. The more frequent offshore breezes, especially in the mornings, are grooming the waves into cleaner shapes. This is a great transition month where the quality is ascending rapidly.

Average Spot conditions at Nusa Dua in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nusa Dua during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nusa Dua for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nusa Dua for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nusa Dua.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size