Panama Viejo seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (May - November)
As the Pacific intertropical convergence zone relaxes, Panama Viejo settles into its most consistent window. Average swell heights creep up to 0.5m during these months, and while that's hardly pumping, the wave quality peaks thanks to lighter offshore winds from the north-northwest. The S to SSW groundswell trains, often sporting 9-12 second intervals, deliver fun-sized runners that wrap into the southeast-facing bay. This is the time for groveling on high-volume boards, with the occasional punchy set sneaking through. Expect the highest percentage of clean, rideable waves from May through November, especially when the morning glass-off aligns with a fresh S pulse.
Fair Surf Season (April & December)
April and December act as transitional bookends. Swell heights dip slightly to 0.4m on average, and the wind regime weakens in April but ramps back up in December. Offshore flow remains common from the N-NW quadrant, but the waves are often too small to break properly, especially during mid-day onshores. Still, the long-period leftovers from winter storm tracks can surprise—if you're willing to paddle hard for a waist-high gem. These months demand patience and a quiver of floaters.
Low Surf Season (January - March)
The height of the dry season brings the smallest waves of the year. Average swell height bottoms out at 0.3m, while the trades strengthen, often exceeding 20 kph from the north. The result is a bumpy, blown-out micro surface, even though the wind direction is technically offshore. Long-period SSW groundswell (11-13s) rolls past the point but lacks the oomph to break cleanly. Only 0-1% of the time do you get truly ideal conditions. Leave the shortboards at home; this is strictly a longboard or skimboard affair.
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Conditions at Panama Viejo in November
November: The Final Stretch
November offers a last gasp of decent surf before winter fully sets in. Average swell height holds at 0.5m, period 9.9s, and SSW swell is 97.0%. A small but notable 0.8% of waves enter the 1-1.5m range, giving the occasional bigger set. Wind conditions: NW (33.0%) and NNW (14.7%) combine for offshore flow, but wind speeds are picking up—18% of NW winds blow 10-20 kph, and a few reach 20-30 kph. The ideal percentage remains at 15%, but the window for glassy conditions shrinks. Early mornings with offshore flow can still deliver clean, punchy waves in the waist-to-chest range. By late November, expect more wind and smaller swells as the dry season approaches.
Average Spot conditions at Panama Viejo in November
Swell history for November
Wind history for November
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Panama Viejo during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Panama Viejo for your next trip in November.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Panama Viejo for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Panama Viejo.
