Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Pan Dulce seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - October)

During the Northern Hemisphere summer and early fall, the Pacific basin comes alive with consistent southern hemi groundswells that wrap into the coast of Costa Rica. Pan Dulce, facing east, picks up these long-period SSW and SW pulses with remarkable efficiency. The average swell height climbs to 1.1m, with wave periods often exceeding 13s, delivering powerful, rippable lines. The wind regime shifts to a steady offshore flow from the W, WNW, and NW, keeping conditions glassy and clean 77-85% of the time. This is the window for firing, hollow waves as the combination of solid swell and light offshore winds aligns perfectly.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & November)

Shoulder months see the swell machine shifting gears. March and April still produce decent SSW swell, though average heights dip slightly to 0.8-0.9m while periods remain long (13-14s). The wind remains favorable, but the more variable direction patterns can introduce occasional onshore breezes. November marks the tail end of the rainy season with average swell dropping to 1.0m and period shortening to 12s, but still fun when the conditions line up. Expect a mix of clean mornings and afternoon wind shifts.

Low Surf Season (December - February)

During the heart of the dry season, the Pacific storm track retreats and swell production takes a noticeable dip. Average heights settle around 0.7-0.8m, though periods remain in the 12-13s range thanks to distant groundswell sources. The wind stays largely offshore from the W and WNW, keeping the wave face clean, but the smaller size often leaves surfers longing for more punch. This is the season for groveling and smaller wave boards, with the occasional fun-sized pulse when a robust front pushes into the North Pacific.

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Conditions at Pan Dulce in March

March: Building Energy, Longer Periods

March sees a slight uptick in average swell height to 0.8m and period to 13.6s. The swell direction remains locked on the SSW (98.6% of the total), with 16.2% of swell now falling in the 1-1.5m good, rippable range. Ideal wind occurs 70% of the time, with a broader spread of offshore directions from WSW through NNW. This month marks the transition toward the better season, with more consistent power and cleaner mornings. Still a solid month for those looking to avoid crowds.

Average Spot conditions at Pan Dulce in March

Swell history for March

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for March

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pan Dulce during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pan Dulce for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pan Dulce for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pan Dulce.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size