Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Panton seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic storm track fires up in October and doesn't let up until March, delivering a steady stream of powerful, long-period groundswells to Panton's NNW-facing beach. Average swell heights range from 2.4m in October to a peak of 3.3m in January, with periods consistently above 11 seconds – often reaching 12-13s. This is prime time for the spot, as the dominant WNW and NW swells wrap in cleanly, and the percentage of ideal offshore wind (S, SSW, SW) hits 23-30% of the time. High pressure over continental Europe frequently sets up a southerly airflow, creating glassy conditions. However, the same low-pressure systems that generate the swell can also bring onshore N winds with cold fronts, so timing is key. The NAO tends to be in a positive phase during these months, steering storms north of Spain and amplifying the swell window for Panton.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

Spring and early fall serve as transitional windows where quality surf is possible but less consistent. In April and May, the average swell drops to 1.8-2.3m and periods shorten to 9.8-10.7s, reflecting a less energetic North Atlantic. The percentage of ideal wind also falls to 20-21%, though periods of southerly flow still clean up the waves. Swell directions shift subtly: while WNW and NW remain dominant, a higher proportion of N and NNE swell appears, which is not as well-aligned with the beach and can be side-onshore. September marks the start of the autumnal ramp-up, with swell averaging 1.9m and periods climbing back to 10.2s, plus a healthy 25% ideal wind. These months can deliver fun, rippable waves when a storm track reloads, but they lack the raw power of winter.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is the doldrums for Panton. Average swell heights hover around 1.5-1.6m with periods in the 8.6-9.1s range – mostly small, crumbly windswell from the NW and WNW. The real problem is the wind: ENE flow dominates (up to 24% of the time), which blows straight onshore for this NNW-facing beach, turning waves into chop. Ideal offshore wind from the south plummets to just 14-17%. Even when the swell is rideable, the onshore winds make it a struggle. Occasional weak southerly wind days can offer windows of cleaner surf, but generally this is a time to explore other breaks or wait for the autumn transition. The North Atlantic storm track retreats, and the Azores high locks in, bringing light but persistent onshore breezes.

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Conditions at Panton in October

October: Winter's Reload

October is a transition month that often delivers some of the best surf of the year. Average swell jumps to 2.4m with a period of 11.2s, and ideal wind reaches 30% – the highest of any month. Swell directions are dominated by WNW (15.2%), NW (14.3%), and NNW (10.1%), all well-aligned with the beach. Wave heights are concentrated in the 1-2.5m range, so the majority of the time you'll find solid, rippable waves. The wind rose shows strong SSW (12.4%) and SW (14.8%) contributions, providing clean offshore flow on many days. The Azores high begins to break down, allowing more southerly winds to develop as low-pressure systems intensify. October can produce classic fall conditions: building groundswell under sunny skies with light offshore breezes. For Panton, this is a prime window for quality surf, with fewer crowds than the deep winter months.

Average Spot conditions at Panton in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Panton during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Panton for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Panton for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Panton.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size