Pennington Bay - surf spot statistics

Pennington Bay in Australia is a consistent surf spot with year-round swell activity, thanks to its high percentage of ground swell dominance (80%–94% across all months). The best conditions for surfers typically occur from March to September, when ground swell probabilities peak above 90%, and the mean swell size increases slightly to 1.5m–1.7m. However, wind conditions are often challenging, with bad (onshore or cross-shore) winds prevailing 75%–90% of the time throughout the year. The most favorable wind windows appear in the autumn and winter months (April–September), when good wind probabilities reach 22%–25%, slightly improving wave quality. Despite the persistent wind issues, the swell consistency and size make late autumn (May) and winter (June–August) the most promising periods for surfers, especially those who prioritize clean, powerful waves and are willing to take advantage of occasional offshore wind days. The summer months (December–February) see marginally smaller swells (1.4m–1.5m) and the worst wind conditions, making them less ideal for surfing unless you're willing to tolerate choppier waves. Overall, Pennington Bay is a reliable year-round surf destination, but the best balance between swell size and cleaner wind conditions occurs from May to September.

Pennington Bay in October offers consistent surf with an average swell height of 1.6m and a solid period of 13.0s, providing well-organized waves. The swell is predominantly sourced from the south to southwest, with the highest frequency of rideable waves (1–2.5m+) coming from the S (50.6%) and SSW (21.8%) directions. These swells often produce clean, powerful lines suitable for intermediate to advanced surfers. Wind conditions are favorable only 19% of the time, typically light offshore (W/NW) or sideshore (SW), while stronger onshore SE/SSE winds can degrade quality. Expect a mix of smaller days (0.5–1.5m) and solid sessions (1.5–2.5m+), with the best windows occurring when winds align from the W/NW quadrant. October is a reliable month for surf, but patience is key for optimal conditions.