Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Pippies seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June – August)

The deep winter months bring the most consistent and high-quality surf to Pippies. With the subtropical ridge shifting north, the southeast trade winds weaken and give way to frequent offshore flows from the west and northwest. Average wave periods push past 9 seconds, delivering punchy, rideable swell. The dominant swell directions shift more south-southeast, wrapping nicely into this southeast-facing gem. Wind statistics show a reliable 49-53% of the time with ideal offshore conditions, making June through August the prime window for groomed waves.

Fair Surf Season (May & September)

These shoulder months straddle the transition between the summer trade wind regime and the winter westerly pattern. May still sees a mix of easterly swell and improving offshore winds – ideal percentages jump to 39% as the first strong fronts begin to sweep through. September offers a similar picture with 49% ideal winds, though the swell period begins to drop as we head into spring. The quality can be excellent on the right day, but consistency is lower than mid-winter.

Low Surf Season (October – April)

Summer and early autumn are the most challenging times at Pippies. The persistent southeast trade winds dominate – onshore winds from the east through southeast blow over 40% of the time, ruining wave shape. While swell heights average 1.4-1.7m and directions from the east and east-southeast are plentiful, the chronic onshore flow often chops up the surface. Occasional tropical lows or ex-cyclones can deliver clean, long-period eastern swell if the wind aligns, but those windows are rare. This is the season for dawn patrols and patience.

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Conditions at Pippies in October

October: Give and Take

October feels like the last call for consistent good surf. The average swell height is 1.5m with a period of 8.3s, notably shorter than winter. Swell from the SSE (18%) and SE (17%) still provide good energy, but easterly swell (E, ESE, ENE, NE) now dominates 58% of the time. This easterly component is good for the beach, but the period is often shorter, yielding less powerful waves. Wind conditions degrade: ideal offshore wind drops to 42%, while onshore SE/SSE winds increase. The wind rose shows a notable peak in N and NNE winds (20% combined), which are cross-shore at Pippies – not ideal but not terrible. The 1-2m range is still present, but 0.5-1m waves become more common. October is a month of trade-offs: you can score a clean, fun session if a westerly front lines up with a solid SSE swell, but you’ll have to work around the building onshore trend. Spring is here.

Average Spot conditions at Pippies in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pippies during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pippies for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pippies for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pippies.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size