Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Pippies seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June – August)

The deep winter months bring the most consistent and high-quality surf to Pippies. With the subtropical ridge shifting north, the southeast trade winds weaken and give way to frequent offshore flows from the west and northwest. Average wave periods push past 9 seconds, delivering punchy, rideable swell. The dominant swell directions shift more south-southeast, wrapping nicely into this southeast-facing gem. Wind statistics show a reliable 49-53% of the time with ideal offshore conditions, making June through August the prime window for groomed waves.

Fair Surf Season (May & September)

These shoulder months straddle the transition between the summer trade wind regime and the winter westerly pattern. May still sees a mix of easterly swell and improving offshore winds – ideal percentages jump to 39% as the first strong fronts begin to sweep through. September offers a similar picture with 49% ideal winds, though the swell period begins to drop as we head into spring. The quality can be excellent on the right day, but consistency is lower than mid-winter.

Low Surf Season (October – April)

Summer and early autumn are the most challenging times at Pippies. The persistent southeast trade winds dominate – onshore winds from the east through southeast blow over 40% of the time, ruining wave shape. While swell heights average 1.4-1.7m and directions from the east and east-southeast are plentiful, the chronic onshore flow often chops up the surface. Occasional tropical lows or ex-cyclones can deliver clean, long-period eastern swell if the wind aligns, but those windows are rare. This is the season for dawn patrols and patience.

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Conditions at Pippies in September

September: Spring Transition

September marks the transition away from winter as the subtropical ridge begins to strengthen. The average swell height drops to 1.4m, and the period falls to 8.7s. Swell directions show a shift: north-easterly quadrants (NNE, NE, ENE, E) now account for over 40% of the total, while SSE (20%) and S (7%) still contribute. This means more easterly swell, which is still good for Pippies, but often lacking the power of winter swells. Wind conditions remain favorable: ideal offshore winds blow 49% of the time. The westerly flow is still present but weakening, with a slight increase in northerly components. Onshore winds from the SE and SSE are starting to rebuild. Wave heights are smaller on average, with 0.5-1.5m being the most common. The quality can still be excellent when a late winter front passes, but the consistency of perfect conditions starts to fade. Early mornings are best.

Average Spot conditions at Pippies in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pippies during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pippies for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pippies for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pippies.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size