Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Playa El Rey seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - March)

The North Pacific high flexes its muscles from December through March, driving a steady stream of offshore N to NNE winds down the coast. This is when Playa El Rey truly shines. Swell energy, while averaging just 1.0 to 1.1 meters, comes with a long-period punch – 12 to 13.5 seconds – from the SSW and SW. The combination of offshore glass and clean, lined-up waves makes for some of the most rippable surf of the year. Think fun-sized to solid 1-1.5m sets with the occasional 1.5m+ pulse when a stronger Southern Hemisphere storm sneaks through. Early mornings are your window.

Fair Surf Season (June - October)

As the Northern Hemisphere heats up, the ITCZ marches north and the Southern Hemisphere roars to life. From June through October, average swell heights climb to 1.3-1.4 meters with periods still in the 13-second range – powerful, long-period southern energy. The catch: the same storm systems that generate the swell also shift the wind belt, increasing the prevalence of onshore SW and S flow. Ideal wind percentages hover around 20-28%, making those windows of offshore N winds (often early mornings) precious. When the synoptic puzzle aligns, you get firing 1.5-2.5m days with heavy, clean walls. But be prepared to pick your sessions.

Low Surf Season (April - May and November)

April and May represent a transition between the two main swell windows. The wind patterns become more variable, with the percentage of favorable offshore winds dropping to 20-22%. Swell heights bump up to 1.2-1.3m and periods stretch to 14 seconds – plenty of juice – but consistent clean conditions become harder to find. November is the trickiest month: only 16% ideal wind and the average swell dips back to 1.2m with a period around 12.4 seconds. The trade-off is that when a cold front pushes through from the north, you can score unexpected gems. For the dedicated surfer willing to chase the small windows, there is reward; for the casual traveler, this is the time to explore other spots.

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Conditions at Playa El Rey in July

July: The Onshore Grind

July continues the pattern of southern hemi swell – average 1.3m, period 13.4 seconds – but the wind turns more challenging. Ideal wind drops to just 18%, the second lowest of the year. The swell is almost exclusively from the SSW (91.2%), with 66.3% in the 1-1.5m range and 20.1% in the 1.5-2m range. That's plenty of power, but the persistent onshore S and SW winds make it hard to find clean conditions. The few offshore windows – typically associated with a passing front or a strong north wind event – produce absolutely firing surf. July is for the dedicated surfer who can read the charts and pounce on the gaps.

Average Spot conditions at Playa El Rey in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa El Rey during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa El Rey for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa El Rey for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa El Rey.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size