Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Playa Nosara seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - April)

The dry season delivers the most reliable combination of offshore winds and rideable swell to Playa Nosara. Steady Northeast trades (NNE-ENE) dominate during these months, blowing cleanly across the swell window and grooming the waves for up to 60% of the time in December and November. Swell is generated by North Pacific storms and frontal systems, delivering consistent 1.0-1.5m waves with periods averaging 11-12s - punchy and fun-sized. While the swell direction is more varied (with some north and east components), the SSW-SW window still produces the best waves, especially when a storm track aligns to send a solid SW groundswell. This is prime time for Nosara's long lefts and playful rights.

Fair Surf Season (May - October)

The green season brings a shift in the swell machine as the Southern Hemisphere winter kicks in. From May through October, the predominant swell direction narrows to a focused SSW-SW band, with wave heights averaging 1.4-1.5m and periods lengthening to 13-14s - powerful, long-period groundswells that wrap into the bay with real authority. However, the wind picture becomes more complex. Lighter winds from variable directions (often SE-SSE cross-shore) reduce the frequency of truly clean conditions, though July stands out with the highest percentage of ideal offshore winds (64%). Early mornings often deliver glassy windows before the afternoon seabreezes kick in, and those who pick their days are rewarded with some of the year's most memorable surf.

Low Surf Season (Transitional Months)

February, March, and September experience the lowest percentages of ideal wind (34-40%) and a weaker mix of swell directions. In late winter, the trades can blow too strong (20-30+ kph) overwhelming the 1.3m swell and creating bumpy, chopped conditions. September, meanwhile, suffers from the highest incidence of onshore south-westerly winds as the Intertropical Convergence Zone sits overhead, often pairing decent SSW long-period swell with bumpy, wind-affected surf. These months require patience and a close eye on the charts to find the narrow windows where the stars align.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Playa Nosara in May

May: Peak Southern Hemi Season Begins

May unleashes the Southern Ocean, with an incredible 81.4% of swell arriving from the SSW and another 13.8% from the SW. Wave heights average 1.4m, but a notable 24.7% of that swell falls in the 1.5-2m range (pumping and firing). The period extends to 14.2s - very powerful. Wind becomes lighter and more variable; NE drops to 9.3%, and the sea breeze cycle (SE-SSE, 8-9%) often dominates afternoons. Ideal wind sits at 45%, concentrated in the morning hours. This is a month for dawn patrols when the SSW groundswell is clean and glassy.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Nosara in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Nosara during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Nosara for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Nosara for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Nosara.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size