Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Ponce Inlet seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - February)

The winter months deliver the most consistent combination of solid groundswell and favorable offshore winds. As the North Atlantic winter storm track intensifies, Ponce Inlet sees frequent pulses of NE to E swell averaging 1.2-1.3m with periods around 8-8.4s. Offshore winds from the SW-W quadrant blow clean over 39-44% of the time, grooming the waves into clean, rippable lines. This is the prime window for surfers seeking punchy, fun-sized waves and occasional bigger sets that can push into the 1.5-2m range.

Fair Surf Season (March - April, November)

During these transitional months, the surf remains rideable but less consistent. March still sees a decent 1.2m average and longer period (8.5s), but wind starts to shift onshore more often (38% ideal). April drops slightly to 1.1m and 8.0s, with similar wind conditions. November picks back up to 1.4m average, but onshore northeasterlies become more dominant (29% ideal wind), so you'll have to pick your windows carefully. When it comes together, you can find some fun, punchy surf.

Low Surf Season (May - October)

From late spring through early fall, Ponce Inlet is dominated by small, short-period windswell from the east and southeast. Average heights struggle to hit 1m, with periods often in the 7.6-8.1s range. Although offshore winds from the south and southwest are frequent (especially in summer with 46-55% ideal wind), the wave energy is simply too weak to produce quality surf. The exception is September and October, where tropical cyclones can inject powerful long-period swell, but these events are rare and often accompanied by strong onshore winds. Overall, this is a stretch for groveling boards and dawn patrol sessions on small, weak waves.

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Conditions at Ponce Inlet in July

July: Peak Summer Flatness

The lowest average swell of the year at 0.7m, period 8.0s. Nearly all swell comes from the ESE (55.6%) and E – small and weak. Offshore wind hits a yearly high of 55% ideal, with light south-southwesterly breezes common. The surf is mostly knee- to waist-high, though a stray tropical swell from a distant hurricane can briefly offer fun waves. Patience is key.

Average Spot conditions at Ponce Inlet in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ponce Inlet during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ponce Inlet for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ponce Inlet for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ponce Inlet.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size