Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Ponce Inlet seasonal overview

Ponce Inlet is a mostly windswell-driven spot with occasional ground swells, offering surfable waves year-round but with strong seasonal variations in quality. The best months for surfing here are typically September through December, when ground swell contribution increases, swell size peaks (averaging 0.9-1.0m), and wind conditions, while still often unfavorable, show slight improvement compared to summer months. September stands out as the prime month with 23% ground swell potential—the highest of the year—paired with a reduced no-swell likelihood (18%). October and November follow closely, delivering the largest average swell sizes (1.0m) thanks to a solid mix of windswell dominance and growing ground swell influence, though offshore winds remain rare (only 17-23% good wind days). Winter months (December-February) see decent windswell consistency but suffer from poor wind conditions (74-75% unfavorable), while summer (June-August) brings the smallest, weakest waves (0.5-0.6m) and the highest likelihood of no swell (up to 47% in July). Spring (March-May) mirrors winter in size (0.8m) but with slightly worse winds. For surfers prioritizing size and ground swell potential, autumn is the clear choice, but patience with onshore winds is necessary year-round.

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Conditions at Ponce Inlet in November

November at Ponce Inlet delivers a mix of surfable conditions, though with some variability. The average swell height is 1.0m with a solid period of 8.6s, indicating decent energy for shaping up waves. The primary swell directions are ENE to E, which account for the majority of rideable conditions, particularly in the 0.5-1.5m range (peaking at 22.55% for E swells in 0.5-1m). Larger swells (1.5-2.5m) are less frequent but present, mostly from ENE and NE, offering occasional punchier waves for advanced surfers. Offshore winds (ideal for surfing) occur 23% of the time, but the wind data shows a tendency for moderate onshore winds from NNE to ENE, which can create some chop. Overall, November offers a fair share of surfable days, especially when ENE/E swells align with lighter winds, though consistency isn’t guaranteed. Keep an eye out for those NE/ENE pulses with periods above 8s for the best sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Ponce Inlet in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ponce Inlet during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ponce Inlet for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ponce Inlet for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ponce Inlet.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size