Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Popov Island seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The winter months bring the most consistent swell to Popov Island, driven by the strengthening Siberian High and the deepening Aleutian Low. These pressure systems generate strong northerly and northwesterly winds that blow directly offshore, grooming the waves into clean, punchy lines. With an average swell height hovering around 0.8-0.9m and periods of 5.0s, the waves are small but fun-sized to solid, and the offshore wind window peaks at 17-21%. The cooler sea surface temperatures also help stabilize the atmosphere, reducing onshore flow from the south and southwest. This is the prime window for scoring rideable, rippable surf in a beautiful, uncrowded setting.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September act as transition months, offering a mix of fading winter patterns and emerging summer regimes. Swell heights drop to an average of 0.5-0.6m, and the ideal wind frequency falls to 10-16%. Still, occasional late-season cold fronts can deliver short-period N-NW pulses that break cleanly with offshore winds. The window is narrow, but those who chase the charts can find small, fun-sized waves before the summer doldrums or after the autumn transition begins.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

From May through August, the synoptic pattern shifts dramatically. The Aleutian Low weakens and the Siberian High retreats, allowing the Pacific subtropical ridge to dominate. Swell direction rotates to a persistent S-SSE component, which hits the island with onshore wind from the same quarter. Wave heights average only 0.5m, with periods below 5.5s, producing micro, groveling conditions. Offshore wind remains scarce at 5-12%. This is the true low season; only the most dedicated shortboarders or longboarders will find the occasional tiny, clean morning session. Plan your trip elsewhere or bring a foam board.

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Conditions at Popov Island in November

November: In Full Swing, Power Returns

November solidifies the winter pattern. The Aleutian Low is fully active, and the Siberian High pumps strong offshore winds. Ideal wind frequency reaches 17%, with N-NNW winds at 39% of all observations. Swell heights average 0.7m, with a notable increase in the 1-1.5m range (20.8% of waves). Swell periods stay short (5.0s) but the wind consistency makes the most of it. NNW and N swells dominate (34% combined), offering clean, punchy beach breaks. This is the month to chase a low pressure system for a solid 2-3 day swell window. Bring your 4/3 and your appetite for cold-water barrels.

Average Spot conditions at Popov Island in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Popov Island during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Popov Island for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Popov Island for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Popov Island.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size