Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Port Mary seasonal overview

Port Mary offers the most consistent and favorable surfing conditions during the winter months, particularly from December through February. During this period, ground swell dominates (77–81%), providing powerful, well-organized waves with mean swell heights ranging from 2.5 to 2.7 meters—ideal for experienced surfers. However, wind conditions are less favorable, with bad onshore winds occurring 79–84% of the time, which can create choppy surf if not timed properly. The shoulder months of November and March still deliver solid ground swell (65–67%) and slightly better wind windows compared to peak winter. Spring (April–May) and fall (October) present a mix of ground and wind swells, with diminishing swell size (1.5–2.3m) but marginally improved wind conditions. Summer (June–September) is the least reliable season, with small, wind-driven swells (1.2–1.8m) and frequent poor winds, making it suitable only for beginners or longboarders on rare clean days. For quality waves, target December–February when ground swells are biggest and most consistent, though patience is needed for favorable winds.

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Conditions at Port Mary in October

October at Port Mary offers solid surf conditions with a dominant swell pattern from the southwest to west-southwest, generating consistent waves. The average swell height is 2.3m with a favorable period of 10.9s, indicating powerful, well-spaced waves—ideal for experienced surfers. The majority of swell energy comes from the SW and WSW directions, with wave heights frequently in the 1.5-2.5m range (peaking at 8.7% for 1.5-2m WSW swells). While smaller waves (0.5-1.5m) are present, overhead and larger waves are common, particularly on WSW swells. Wind conditions are a mixed bag, with only 18% of days offering ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds (likely from the northeast or east). However, prevailing winds are often onshore (SSE to SW) at moderate speeds (10-30kph), which can create choppy or less clean conditions. For skilled surfers, October delivers strong, sizable surf, but wind quality is the limiting factor—best sessions will coincide with those rarer clean wind windows. Expect heavier, more powerful waves on WSW swells, while SW swells may offer slightly more manageable but still punchy conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Port Mary in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Port Mary during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Port Mary for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Port Mary for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Port Mary.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size