Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Puerto Madero seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - December)

The final quarter of the year marks the apex of Puerto Madero's surf season. As autumn deepens, the North Pacific roars to life with powerful extratropical storms, sending long-period groundswells toward the Mexican coast. Simultaneously, the Southern Hemisphere is still active, providing a mixed swell window. The key ingredient, however, is the wind. From October through December, the region experiences its highest percentage of offshore winds (N to ENE), often ushered in by strong high-pressure systems over the Gulf of Mexico. This combination yields clean, lined-up waves with average heights in the 1.1-1.4m range and periods consistently above 11s. When a proper SSW swell lines up with these offshore breezes, Puerto Madero fires at its best.

Fair Surf Season (January, June - September)

During these months, the surf is still very much alive, but the conditions come with a few more caveats. In January, winter swells continue but with slightly less wind consistency (53% ideal). Summer months (June-September) bring the highest average swell heights (1.4-1.5m) and longest periods (13-14s) as the Southern Hemisphere winter storms dominate. However, the wind regime shifts: afternoon sea breezes from the south and southeast can introduce bump, making early morning sessions prime. Still, the sheer quantity of SSW swell ensures plenty of rideable, punchy waves. These months offer the biggest surf of the year, but you'll need to pick your windows carefully.

Low Surf Season (February - May)

Late winter through spring presents the most challenging conditions for Puerto Madero. The wind ideal percentage drops to 42-48%, with onshore winds from the south and southwest becoming more frequent as the season progresses. While swell heights remain respectable (1.1-1.4m) and periods often exceed 12s, the quality is often compromised by wind. April is the toughest month, with only a 42% chance of offshore wind. However, this is still a transitional period; occasional strong cold fronts passing through the Gulf can deliver clean offshore days with fun, groveling waves. Patience and a flexible schedule are key during these months.

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Conditions at Puerto Madero in January

January: Winter's Mixed Bag

January delivers an average swell height of 1.1m with a solid 11.7s period, offering a mix of SSW (28.9%), SW (24.2%), and significant W/WSW/WNW contributions. While the SSW and SW swells hit the spot optimally, the west-northwest swell (16.2%) is less ideal, wrapping in with less power. The wind is offshore 53% of the time, with N and NNW breezes dominating the light wind spectrum. These cooler, stable offshore winds often groom the surface to perfection, making early morning sessions glassy. However, onshore winds from the SW-WSW (15% combined) can quickly ruin the shape when they kick up. The key is to watch for those offshore windows to score clean, long-period waves in the fun 1-1.5m range.

Average Spot conditions at Puerto Madero in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Puerto Madero during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Puerto Madero for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Puerto Madero for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Puerto Madero.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size