Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Rincao seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - July)

During the austral autumn and winter, the South Atlantic roars to life as a series of strong cold fronts and extratropical cyclones march eastward, generating long-period swell that makes its way to the SE-facing shores of Rincao. While the dominant swell direction remains from the E-ESE quadrant, the combination of higher average wave periods (9.4 to 10.0 seconds) and an increased frequency of offshore winds from the west and northwest creates the most favorable surf conditions of the year. Offshore wind percentages peak at 46% in both May and June, offering the best chance of clean, groomed waves. The average swell height sits around 1.5-1.6m, providing fun to solid surf, with occasional larger pulses from the south tapping into the 1.5-2.5m range. This is the prime window for Rincao.

Fair Surf Season (March & August)

March and August serve as transitional months, offering a mix of building or declining swell activity. March sees the tail end of summer patterns with offshore winds at 36% and an average period of 9.1s, while August still holds onto winter energy with a similar 36% offshore wind but a slightly lower average period of 9.5s. Swell heights remain solid around 1.4-1.6m, and although the wind consistency is lower than the peak months, there are plenty of rideable days, especially when cold fronts align with a westerly wind shift. It's a good bet for intermediate surfers looking to avoid the crowds.

Low Surf Season (September - February)

The austral spring and summer months bring a marked decline in surf quality to Rincao. The South Atlantic high pressure system dominates, resulting in lighter and more variable winds, but the prevailing flow is from the northeast and east — onshore for this SE-facing break. Offshore wind percentages drop to 21-28%, meaning clean conditions are rare. Swell periods average between 8.4 and 9.1 seconds, producing weaker, more disorganized waves. While average heights remain in the 1.3-1.7m range, the combination of onshore winds and less powerful swell makes for mostly choppy, messy surf. Occasional tropical systems or distant storms can provide isolated windows of quality, but consistency is low. This is the time to explore other breaks or enjoy the beach life.

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Conditions at Rincao in September

September: Spring's Cost

September marks a sharp decline in surf quality at Rincao as spring sets in. Offshore wind frequency plummets to 25% — the second lowest of the year. The average swell period drops to 9.4s, and average height sits at 1.7m — the highest of any month, but this is deceiving. The wind is predominantly from the NE and ENE (nearly 35% combined), blowing directly onshore and degrading the wave quality. The swell is mostly mid-period from the E-ESE, with only 11.6% from the south. The result is often a bumpy, wind-affected surf with short period chop on the face. While there can be the occasional clean day if a front brings a westerly wind shift, consistency is low. This is a month to pick your windows carefully.

Average Spot conditions at Rincao in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Rincao during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Rincao for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Rincao for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Rincao.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size