Rincon Point - surf spot statistics

Rincon Point, a classic right-hand point break in California, offers varying surf conditions throughout the year. The best months for consistent, quality waves are typically from late fall through early spring, with December to February standing out as the prime window. During these months, ground swell dominance peaks at around 45-60%, ensuring cleaner, more organized waves. The average swell size hovers around 0.6-0.7m, which is manageable for most surfers while still providing good rides. Wind conditions remain challenging year-round, but winter months (January-February) still have the highest likelihood of favorable offshore winds (around 34-36% good wind days), despite the majority being onshore or cross-shore. Spring (March-May) sees a slight drop in ground swell frequency but retains decent size, with May offering marginally better wind conditions. Summer months (June-August) bring weaker swells, higher no-swell days (over 50%), and worse wind conditions, making it the least reliable period. September through November remains inconsistent, with low ground swell influence and poor wind odds. For Rincon’s signature long, peeling rides, target the winter months—though be prepared for crowds and variable wind luck. Late spring (May) can occasionally surprise with a balance of size and cleaner winds, but consistency drops sharply outside the December-February core season.

January at Rincon Point typically offers decent surfing conditions with a mix of smaller, rideable swells and occasional mid-sized waves. The average swell height is 0.7m, with a solid period of 13.5s, indicating well-spaced and organized waves. Most swells come from the WSW and W directions, with WSW swells being the most dominant—particularly in the 0.5-1m range (27.64% occurrence) and occasionally reaching 1.5-2m (2.43%). W swells also contribute, often in the 0.5-1m range (20.24%) and occasionally up to 2-2.5m (0.28%). While bigger days are rare, the consistency of mid-period swells keeps the spot active. Wind conditions are favorable only 36% of the time, with lighter winds (0-10kph) being most common from N, NNE, and NE directions. Stronger winds (10-20kph and above) often blow from the N and NW, which can create chop or onshore interference. Surfers should watch for W and WSW swells combined with light winds for the cleanest conditions, but be prepared for variability as wind shifts can impact wave quality. Overall, January delivers surfable waves regularly, though truly epic days are less frequent.