Rincon Point - surf spot statistics

Rincon Point, a classic right-hand point break in California, offers varying surf conditions throughout the year. The best months for consistent, quality waves are typically from late fall through early spring, with December to February standing out as the prime window. During these months, ground swell dominance peaks at around 45-60%, ensuring cleaner, more organized waves. The average swell size hovers around 0.6-0.7m, which is manageable for most surfers while still providing good rides. Wind conditions remain challenging year-round, but winter months (January-February) still have the highest likelihood of favorable offshore winds (around 34-36% good wind days), despite the majority being onshore or cross-shore. Spring (March-May) sees a slight drop in ground swell frequency but retains decent size, with May offering marginally better wind conditions. Summer months (June-August) bring weaker swells, higher no-swell days (over 50%), and worse wind conditions, making it the least reliable period. September through November remains inconsistent, with low ground swell influence and poor wind odds. For Rincon’s signature long, peeling rides, target the winter months—though be prepared for crowds and variable wind luck. Late spring (May) can occasionally surprise with a balance of size and cleaner winds, but consistency drops sharply outside the December-February core season.

In May, Rincon Point typically experiences mellow to moderate surf conditions, with an average swell height of 0.6m and a solid period of 12.5s, indicating clean, well-spaced waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the south-southwest (SSW) and west (W), which aligns well with the beach orientation. Most waves fall in the 0.5-1.5m range, with SSW swells being particularly consistent (22.3% at 0.5-1m) and W swells producing slightly larger sets (27.38% at 0.5-1m and 4.9% at 1-1.5m). Wind conditions are favorable 36% of the time, typically light (0-20kph) and from the NNE to SE, which keeps the surface clean. Stronger winds, often from the NW to NNW, can occasionally create chop but are less frequent. Overall, May offers rideable conditions for most skill levels, with the best windows coinciding with lighter offshore winds and SSW/W swells—ideal for longboarders and those seeking smooth, lined-up waves. Keep an eye on wind forecasts, as northerlies can disrupt conditions.