Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Rosa seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the austral winter, Rosa comes alive as the South Atlantic storm track shifts northward, delivering a consistent stream of medium to long-period swell from the E/ESE/SE quadrant. Average wave heights hover in the solid 1.3-1.4m range with periods frequently pushing 9-10 seconds, creating punchy, rippable waves. The real key, however, is the wind. From May through August, the percentage of ideal offshore flow from the WSW-WNW sector peaks at 50-56%, cleaning up the faces and offering glassy conditions more often than not. This is prime time for Rosa, when the combination of reliable swell and favorable synoptic patterns produces the most consistent quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as the transition windows into and out of winter. In April, the offshore wind frequency climbs to 40%, and average swell periods edge up to 9.0s, hinting at the approaching winter energy. September still sees solid 1.5m average swell – the highest of the year – but the wind becomes less reliable, dropping to 31% ideal. These months offer plenty of rideable days, but you may need to pick the right weather windows to avoid onshore chop.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

From late spring through early autumn, Rosa endures its least consistent period. The South Atlantic storm track shifts poleward, reducing swell energy and period. Average wave heights sit around 1.2m with periods mostly below 8.5s. More critically, the dominant wind regime shifts to the NNE-ENE sector, which blows directly onshore at this east-facing beach. Ideal offshore wind percentages drop to 23-32%, meaning many days are marred by bumpy, choppy conditions. While occasional pulses of swell can still produce fun waves, the overall reliability is low, and patience is a virtue.

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Conditions at Rosa in January

January: Summer Doldrums

January brings the peak of the Brazilian summer, with average swell heights of 1.2m and periods averaging 8.0s – predominantly short-period, windswell-dominated energy. The swell direction is heavily skewed toward the E (27.4%) and ESE (24.4%), which is favorable for this east-facing beach, but the wind is the major limiting factor. Only 24% of the time does the wind blow from the ideal offshore directions (WSW-WNW). The prevailing wind is from the NE-ENE quadrant (almost 50% of total), which blows directly onshore and ruins wave quality. Expect mainly small, choppy conditions unless a rare cold front brings a shift to westerly winds.

Average Spot conditions at Rosa in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Rosa during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Rosa for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Rosa for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Rosa.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size