Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Rosa seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the austral winter, Rosa comes alive as the South Atlantic storm track shifts northward, delivering a consistent stream of medium to long-period swell from the E/ESE/SE quadrant. Average wave heights hover in the solid 1.3-1.4m range with periods frequently pushing 9-10 seconds, creating punchy, rippable waves. The real key, however, is the wind. From May through August, the percentage of ideal offshore flow from the WSW-WNW sector peaks at 50-56%, cleaning up the faces and offering glassy conditions more often than not. This is prime time for Rosa, when the combination of reliable swell and favorable synoptic patterns produces the most consistent quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as the transition windows into and out of winter. In April, the offshore wind frequency climbs to 40%, and average swell periods edge up to 9.0s, hinting at the approaching winter energy. September still sees solid 1.5m average swell – the highest of the year – but the wind becomes less reliable, dropping to 31% ideal. These months offer plenty of rideable days, but you may need to pick the right weather windows to avoid onshore chop.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

From late spring through early autumn, Rosa endures its least consistent period. The South Atlantic storm track shifts poleward, reducing swell energy and period. Average wave heights sit around 1.2m with periods mostly below 8.5s. More critically, the dominant wind regime shifts to the NNE-ENE sector, which blows directly onshore at this east-facing beach. Ideal offshore wind percentages drop to 23-32%, meaning many days are marred by bumpy, choppy conditions. While occasional pulses of swell can still produce fun waves, the overall reliability is low, and patience is a virtue.

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Conditions at Rosa in May

May: Winter's Arrival

May is a turning point for Rosa. Average swell heights hold at 1.3m, but the period jumps to 9.6s – the start of consistent long-period groundswell. The swell direction distributes evenly across the ESE (16.8%), SE (17.4%), SSE (18.9%), and S (16.0%), all of which wrap into this east-facing beach. Most importantly, ideal offshore wind conditions occur 51% of the time. Winds from the W, WNW, and NW sectors become significant, delivering clean, groomed faces. Expect solid, rippable surf on a regular basis, with plenty of morning glass-offs. This is when Rosa really starts to fire.

Average Spot conditions at Rosa in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Rosa during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Rosa for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Rosa for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Rosa.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size