Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Serangan seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - February)

This is the peak window at Serangan, driven by the northwest monsoon. Consistent offshore winds from the west and northwest deliver clean, groomed conditions 60-64% of the time. While the dominant swell comes from the SSW and SW—not the ideal E-SSE direction—the offshore flow transforms these long-period Southern Ocean groundswells into smooth, rippable waves. Expect average wave heights around 1.6-1.7m with periods of 12-13s, offering fun to pumping surf day after day.

Fair Surf Season (March & November)

These months represent the transition between monsoons. March still sees moderate offshore wind (48% ideal) with powerful 13.3s swell, but the trade winds begin to creep in. November marks the return of the monsoon with 31% ideal wind, after months of onshore slop. Wave heights average 1.6m, and while the swell direction remains south-oriented, the improving wind quality makes these months solid secondary targets.

Low Surf Season (April - October)

The southeast trade winds dominate from April through October, blowing directly onshore from the E-ESE-SE quadrant. Ideal wind plummets to 19% in April and further down to 0-3% from May through August. Although swell energy peaks during these months—averaging 1.9-2.2m with long periods over 14s from the deep south—the constant onshore wind wrecks wave quality, creating lumpy, choppy, and difficult conditions. Only rare light-wind windows or early mornings offer any refuge. September and October see a slight uptick in wind quality (3-13%), but conditions remain marginal.

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Conditions at Serangan in October

October: Monsoon Stirrings Bring Hope

October is a transitional month. Ideal wind improves to 13% as the trades weaken. Winds still blow from ESE (25.8%) and SE (27.2%), but W winds start to reappear (2.7%). Swell maintains high energy: 1.8m average at 13.8s, with 83.1% from SSW. The waves are powerful, and as the monsoon begins to stir, offshore windows become more frequent, especially in the afternoons. It's a month of hope for better conditions ahead.

Average Spot conditions at Serangan in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Serangan during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Serangan for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Serangan for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Serangan.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size