Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Shivas seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

The winter months deliver the most consistent combination of favourable winds and rideable swell for Shivas. As the Indian winter monsoon sets in, a stable high-pressure system over the subcontinent funnels cool, offshore winds from the NNE and ENE across the coast, creating clean conditions over 60% of the time. While the dominant swell direction shifts toward the W and WNW – not optimal but still capable of wrapping into the bay – the average wave height hovers around 0.8-0.9m with a punchy period of 9-10s. These are the months to point your board south-west and enjoy glassy, fun-sized waves before the afternoon sea breeze kicks in.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

Transitional periods bring a trade-off. In March and April, the offshore wind window narrows to about 30-42%, but the swell direction swings more favourably toward the SW and WSW, producing consistent 1m waves with a longer, more powerful 10-11s period. Similarly, September and October see the tail end of the summer swell and the onset of the northeast monsoon, with ideal wind percentages climbing back to 40% while the swell remains solid and well-directed from the SSW and SW. These months can dish out excellent sessions when the synoptic setup aligns, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Shivas essentially goes dormant during the peak of the Indian summer. From May through August, the dominant southwest monsoon winds blow directly onshore from the W and WSW, ruining wave quality and making the ocean a bumpy, choppy mess. Average wave height actually peaks at a heavy 2.3-2.5m in June and July, but it comes with onshore winds over 90% of the time and a short, windswell-like period around 10s. Unless you enjoy closeouts and whitewash, it’s best to leave the board at home and wait for the monsoon to retreat.

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Conditions at Shivas in July

July: Peak Summer Lull

July mirrors June with an average swell height of 2.5m and a period of 10.5s, again dominated by W and WSW swell. The offshore wind percentage is stuck at 3%, with relentless onshore W winds making conditions nearly impossible. Wave heights in the 1.5-2.5m range are common, but they’re accompanied by choppy, wind-affected surf. This is the heart of the monsoon, and Shivas essentially shuts down for surfing. The few days with a north-northeast wind are rare and fleeting. Unless you’re a masochist for closeouts, give July a miss.

Average Spot conditions at Shivas in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Shivas during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Shivas for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Shivas for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Shivas.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size