Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Sumner Avenue seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic cranks up the energy in autumn, and by October, Sumner Avenue starts to feel the pulse of consistent groundswell. With average swell heights hovering around 1.3-1.4m and periods pushing into the 7-8s range, the combo of S/SSW/SSE swell and frequent offshore winds from the NW/WNW/N quadrants creates clean, punchy waves. This is prime time – the combination of solid swell and offshore flow peaks in December and January, delivering fun, rippable conditions on the best days. The statistical sweet spot runs from October through March, when the wind is ideal a solid 24-28% of the time and the swell window stays open. Expect average wave heights in the 1-1.5m range, often with enough power to hold a line, especially when period climbs above 10s.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent transitional windows at Sumner Avenue. In April, average swell height drops slightly to 1.2m with periods still solid around 7.3s, but the wind becomes more fickle – offshore flow drops to just 22% of the time. However, the S/SSE swell continues to deliver, and when a late winter low or early spring cold front aligns, you can score clean, fun waves. September signals the return of life after the summer doldrums, with average swell height climbing back to 1.2m and the longest periods of the year (8.4s). Offshore wind picks up to 28%, and the swell direction shifts to include more E/ESE contributions that can wrap in nicely. These months are hit-or-miss but offer quality windows for the patient surfer.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer at Sumner Avenue is a mellow affair. From May through August, average swell heights bottom out at 0.9m, and periods stagnate in the 7.0-7.5s range. The dominant swell direction shifts to S/SSE, which is on the favorable side of the exposure, but the wind becomes the enemy. Onshore flow from the SSW/SW quadrants dominates, and the percentage of ideal offshore wind plummets to as low as 12-16% in June and July. Most days are plagued by weak, messy, short-period swell and onshore breezes that chop up the surface. While the occasional tropical storm or passing front can inject a pulse of energy, consistent quality is rare. This is the season for a longboard and a sunrise session on a rare clean morning.

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Conditions at Sumner Avenue in October

October: Consistency Returns

October delivers consistent, quality surf. Average swell height is 1.3m with a period of 7.7s. Swell from the E/ESE (14.5% and 13.1%) and S (8.0%) still plays a role, but the wind pattern shifts dramatically: offshore flow from the N/NW/WNW/NNW now occurs 29.5% of the time, while onshore wind weakens. Wave heights are well-distributed between 0.5-2m, with the 1-1.5m range most common. The combination of solid swell and clean offshore winds produces excellent surf days, especially when strong high-pressure systems settle over the region. October is hands-down one of the best months at Sumner Avenue for both quality and quantity.

Average Spot conditions at Sumner Avenue in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Sumner Avenue during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Sumner Avenue for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Sumner Avenue for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Sumner Avenue.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size