Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Tramandao seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the austral winter, the South Atlantic roars to life as the storm track shifts northward, slamming the Rio Grande do Sul coastline with consistent, long-period swell. Tramandao, with its ESE-facing beach, is perfectly oriented to capture the relentless energy from SE to E swells. The average wave height sits solidly in the 1.7-1.8m range, with periods stretching into the 9-10s bracket, offering punchy, rideable waves. More importantly, winter also brings the highest percentage of offshore winds—from the west and northwest—as cold fronts and post-frontal high pressure systems sweep across the continent. This combination of clean, groomed swell and favorable wind makes May through August the undisputed power months for surfers. It is not uncommon to score multiple days of 1.5-2.5m surf with glassy conditions as the wind clock around to the WNW.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

The shoulder months of April and September act as a transition period, balancing the building or fading winter swell window with more variable wind patterns. In April, the autumnal shift begins, with average swell heights climbing to 1.7m and periods reaching 9.1s, while ideal wind frequency jumps to 28%. September sees the last gasp of winter swell, posting the highest average height of the year at 2.0m. However, the wind becomes a bit more fickle, with ideal offshore breezes dropping to 21%. These months can serve up world-class waves when a strong low-pressure system aligns with a westerly wind regime, but you have to chase the forecasts more closely.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

From October through March, the South Atlantic subtropical high strengthens, locking in relentless easterly trade winds. For Tramandao, this is a mixed bag: the swell direction remains favorable—ENE, E, and ESE—but the accompanying wind is almost always onshore, coming from exactly the same quadrant. The result is choppy, wind-affected surf with average wave heights in the 1.5-1.9m range and periods hovering around 8-8.6s. The percentage of ideal offshore wind (WSW through NW) plummets to between 17-23%, meaning clean waves are a rarity. While summer can occasionally produce a fun, grovel-worthy day if a cold front clips the coast, the norm is onshore, bumpy conditions. This is the season to be patient and wait for a rare westerly wind event.

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Conditions at Tramandao in July

July: Continued Winter Gold with Slightly Less Wind

July holds onto winter's momentum. Average swell height is 1.8m, and the period drops only slightly to 9.3s. Swell comes primarily from ENE (16.3%) and S (14.3%), with strong contributions from SSE (11.7%) and E (12.7%). The wind remains favorable, though not quite as dominant as June. Ideal offshore wind percentage settles at 37%, still excellent. W (13.9%) and WSW (8.6%) lead the offshore flow, while NE (19.3%) onshore still exists but is less frequent. July offers consistent, powerful surf with plenty of clean days. The swell can occasionally pump into the 2-2.5m range, offering near-epic conditions when a strong storm passes. For surfers seeking a reliable winter destination, July is a close second to June.

Average Spot conditions at Tramandao in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tramandao during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tramandao for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tramandao for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tramandao.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size