Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Tres Palmas seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life as deep winter lows churn across the basin, generating the largest and longest-period swell of the year. While the dominant swell direction at Tres Palmas remains stubbornly from the north and east during these months, the rare south-to-west swells (SSW, SW, WSW, W) that this SW-facing spot craves become marginally more frequent. When a strong extratropical storm drifts far enough south or interacts with a cutoff low, we see pulses of long-period south swell wrapping into the exposed reefs. Combine that with the ever-present offshore winds from the north (NNO, NO, ONO, O) that grace the area up to 64% of the time, and the result is the most consistent chance for truly world-class barrels. Average heights of 1.5-1.6m and periods of 10s provide a solid base, but the real magic happens when a textbook 15s+ south swell aligns with a crisp northerly breeze—then Tres Palmas transforms into one of the heaviest waves on the planet.

Fair Surf Season (April - September)

The trade-wind machine dominates the summer half of the year, delivering incredible consistency in offshore winds—peaking at an astonishing 88% in June. However, the swell is largely a poor fit for Tres Palmas. Waves are generated by easterly trades, producing short-period, low-energy windswell from the ENE and E that rarely top 1m. These conditions are rideable for longboards and grovelers, but the lack of fetch from the south means the wave quality is generally weak and mushy. Still, when a rare tropical disturbance or hurricane spins up in the Caribbean, it can send a pulse of south swell that briefly rewrites the script. Those fleeting windows, paired with glassy offshore trade winds, offer the occasional reminder of what Tres Palmas can do.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The peak of summer is the doldrums for Tres Palmas. With average swell heights barely reaching 1m and periods under 8s, the energy is almost entirely from the east-northeast—completely opposite of the south-to-west swells the spot demands. The ocean turns to glass with perfect offshore winds, but that only highlights the lack of real swell reaching the coast. This is the time for flat spells, micro-sessions, and long waits. Only the most desperate or patient surfer paddles out, knowing that the next proper swell likely won't arrive until the autumn transition.

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Conditions at Tres Palmas in May

May: Trade Winds Peak, Swell Bottom

May sees the trade-wind machine at full force—ideal wind 78% of the time, with E and ENE dominating (23% and 22% respectively). But the swell drops to just 1.1m at 8.7s, and the direction is overwhelmingly from the ENE (38%) and NE (26%). South swell is virtually nonexistent. Waves are small, short-period, and mostly windswell—fun for a log but nothing for the heavy wetsuit crew. The glassy mornings are beautiful, but the lack of real swell energy from the south makes Tres Palmas a summer pond. Best for learning or sunbathing.

Average Spot conditions at Tres Palmas in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tres Palmas during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tres Palmas for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tres Palmas for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tres Palmas.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size