Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Trigg Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - June)

As the austral autumn settles in, the Indian Ocean aligns perfectly for Trigg Point. April through June sees the most favorable blend of consistent, long-period groundswells and a marked increase in offshore wind frequency. The mean swell height sits around 2.0-2.5m, with average periods pushing 12.7-12.8s, delivering powerful, well-defined lines off the reef. At the same time, the percentage of ideal surfing wind (NE, ENE, E, ESE) climbs to 43-49%, as high-pressure systems park themselves over the continent, funneling clean, offshore breezes across the beach. This is the window when you can score flawless, rippable waves session after session.

Fair Surf Season (March & July - September)

March acts as a transitional month, where the swell is still solid (1.8m average) and long-period (12.4s), but the winds are slightly less consistent (35% ideal). Moving into winter, July through September brings the biggest surf of the year, averaging 2.6-2.7m with periods of 13.0-13.1s. These are powerful, long-range swells generated by Southern Ocean storms that wrap beautifully into the West-facing beach. However, the offshore wind window narrows to 33-42%, and frequent cold fronts introduce more SW to W winds that blow directly onshore. You'll need to pick your days carefully, but when a high-pressure ridge aligns, the rewards are epic.

Low Surf Season (October - February)

From late spring through summer, the Indian Ocean storm track weakens, and the prevailing winds turn unfavorable. October to February sees average swell heights drop to 1.8-2.2m with shorter periods (11.6-12.8s), and the dominant swell directions shift increasingly toward SSW and SW. Worse, the ideal wind percentage plummets to 24-30%, as the sea breeze cycle and synoptic patterns favor S to SSW winds—directly onshore at Trigg Point. This doesn't mean the surf is flat, but quality takes a hit. You'll often find bumpy, onshore conditions, though occasional easterly morning breezes can still offer short windows of clean, if smaller, waves.

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Conditions at Trigg Point in July

July: Maxed Out Swell, Wind Roulette

July is the heart of winter, delivering the largest average swell of the year at 2.7m, with an impressive period of 13.0s. The swell is almost entirely from the SW to WNW, with SW (26%), WSW (16.5%), and W (3.7%) making up the bulk. This is the month for XXL sets and deep-water energy. However, the ideal wind percentage drops to 42%, and wind directions become more scattered. Onshore W (7.7%), WSW (7.4%), and SW (6.1%) winds are common, while offshore winds from NE (7.4%) and ENE (9.5%) still offer good windows. The key is waiting for a strong high-pressure ridge to deliver stable E winds. When that happens, Trigg Point is world-class: hollow, fast, and heavy. But be prepared to sit out the onshore days. A board for 2.5m+ is recommended.

Average Spot conditions at Trigg Point in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Trigg Point during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Trigg Point for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Trigg Point for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Trigg Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size