Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Wickaninnish seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Pacific stirs to life during autumn, and by October the storm track aligns with Wickaninnish’s west-southwest exposure, delivering a steady diet of powerful, long-period swells from the southwest quadrant. Average wave heights hover around 1.5m to 1.9m with periods often exceeding 11 seconds, translating to pumping, firing waves on the better days. Offshore winds from the east-northeast quadrant are most frequent during these months, thanks to strong high-pressure systems that settle over the interior, creating clean, groomed faces. Combined with the climatological peak in extratropical cyclone activity, this is the prime window for epic, heavy surf — especially in December and January, when the swell combines with ideal wind percentages around 38-39%.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September mark the transition months where the surf is more inconsistent but still capable of delivering the goods. In April, the average swell drops to 1.4m, but many of those waves still come from the preferred SW-W direction, and the period remains solid at 11.3s. However, offshore wind frequency drops to 25%, meaning you’ll have to pick your sessions carefully. September sees a similar pattern as the North Pacific begins to recharge, with average swell around 1.1m but a respectable 28% offshore wind frequency. When a late-summer typhoon or early-autumn storm churns up the ocean, the right combination of long period swell and light east winds can still produce excellent sessions from grovelers to rippable waves.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer brings a dramatic lull in surf energy to Wickaninnish. The jet stream retreats north, and the North Pacific storm track weakens, resulting in average swell heights of just 0.9m to 1.2m and periods around 10-10.8s. The dominant swell direction remains from the west, which is good, but the overall size is marginal, often relegated to small, fun-sized or groveling waves. Offshore wind frequency plummets to 10-18% as the prevailing flow becomes dominated by northwesterly winds (onshore for this beach) thanks to a persistent thermal trough along the coast. The occasional southerly pulse can bring a brief spike, but overall, this is a low season for quality surf.

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Conditions at Wickaninnish in October

October: Winter’s Prelude

October brings a significant shift as average swell height climbs to 1.5m and periods to 11.3s. The swell direction is now dominated by west (37.2%) and west-southwest (33.2%), with plenty of size in the 1-2.5m range. Offshore wind frequency stabilizes at 32%, with a healthy presence of east-northeast (13.1% east-southeast, 6.3% east) and east winds. These offshores clean up the waves beautifully. The North Pacific storm track is fully active, generating frequent strong fronts. This results in consistent, powerful surf. On the best days, Wickaninnish sees pumping, heavy waves that rival the peak winter months. October is a prime month for experienced surfers.

Average Spot conditions at Wickaninnish in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Wickaninnish during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Wickaninnish for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Wickaninnish for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Wickaninnish.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size