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Conditions at Vairao in October
October: Warmer Days, Still Searching for West
October is a shoulder month with improving air temperatures but a lag in the swell direction. Average wave height dips to 6-7ft (2.0m) and period stays at 12.2s. The south quadrants are still in control: S 27.0%, SSE 23.9%, SE 14.3%, SSW 13.5%, and the preferred SW-WNW sector is only 1.4% of the total. So while the open-ocean swell is plentiful, Vairao is dealing with the shadowing effect of having its west-facing break exposed only to westerly-angle energy.
The wind is a little more favourable than midwinter, with ideal conditions up to 33%. Lighter E and ESE flows begin to dominate, and the onshore W/SW wind signatures are almost absent. Water temperature warms to 26.6°C, air temp rises to 25.4°C, and rainfall ticks up to 2.98mm/day as the wet season approaches. The first genuine windows of clean surf are showing up, but the magic month is still just around the corner.
Average Spot conditions at Vairao in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Vairao during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Vairao for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Vairao for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Vairao.