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Conditions at Blacks Beach in July
July: The Deep South Swell Pattern
July represents the core of the summer lull. Average swell height sits at 1.0m (3.3ft) with a long period of 13.7s, but the direction is almost purely southwesterly: SW leads at 47.3 percent, WSW adds 29.8 percent, and SSW contributes 17.6 percent. That is a far cry from the clean winter W/NW groundswells. The wind is the absolute dealbreaker - ideal offshore conditions are recorded just 1 percent of the time. The Eastern Pacific High locks in, forcing a relentless W (40.0 percent) and WSW (29.3 percent) wind regime that chops the ocean surface into an afternoon mess. Water temps are beautiful, climbing to 19.1°C (66°F), and air temps average 20.4°C (69°F). The only hope for good surf is a distant tropical storm or hurricane south of Baja sending up a clean, long-period S/SW swell that arrives during a dawn glass-off. July at Blacks is better for sunbathing than surfing.
Average Spot conditions at Blacks Beach in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Blacks Beach during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Blacks Beach for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Blacks Beach for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Blacks Beach.