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Conditions at Flagler Beach in October
October: Fall Rhythm Returns
October is when Flagler Beach truly wakes up from the summer slumber. The average swell height holds at 0.7m (2.3ft) but the period stays solid at 8.4s, and the wave rose looks like a winter preview: ENE dominates at 36.1%, E at 28.1%, NE at 17.6%, and NNE at 5.0%. The wind, however, is still a mixed bag - NE (13.4%), ENE (15.2%), NNE (12.0%), and E (10.7%) are all frequent, keeping ideal wind days at 14%. The key is the first true cold fronts of fall; they not only kick up fresh N-NNE windswell but also swing the wind around to the W-SW afterward, offering clean, offshore windows. Water temp is still warm at 26.2°C (79°F), so you can surf in shorts while the air cools to 23.1°C (74°F). October and November are the sweet spots for combining warm conditions with legitimate ENE swell.
Average Spot conditions at Flagler Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Flagler Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Flagler Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Flagler Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Flagler Beach.