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Log Cabins • Statistics for October

Conditions at Log Cabins in October

October: Autumn Swell Ramps and Directional Mixing

October is a beautiful transition month. Average swell climbs to 2.0m (6.6ft) and period jumps to 10.7s, while the direction picture becomes much more balanced. ENE still leads at 25.1%, but NE (21.5%), NNE (14.8%) and - crucially - NNW (14.5%) are all active. The return of NNW/NW groundswell at this size and period is exactly what Log Cabins needs. When the first strong extratropical storms set up off the U.S. East Coast, they point their fetch south towards the Caribbean, sending clean, powerful lines into this WNW-facing break.

Wind conditions remain excellent: E 37.2% and ENE 35.2% are offshore to cross-offshore, with ESE adding 6.3%, and the ideal surfing wind reads 28% - same as midwinter. Water stays warm at 26.5°C, air averages 25.8°C, and rainfall increases to 1.83mm/day. October is when the summer log gets traded for a proper shortboard again.

Average Spot conditions at Log Cabins in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Log Cabins during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Log Cabins for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Log Cabins for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Log Cabins.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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