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Conditions at Manhattan Beach in October
October: Autumn Swell Returns, Size Dips, Quality Rebounds
October brings a significant shift in wind quality. Ideal offshore wind jumps back to 39 percent, and while the average swell height dips to 2-3ft (0.7m), the period lengthens to 12.9 seconds - the highest average of the year. Swell directions remain very favorable: WSW 39 percent, SW 35 percent, W 16 percent, and SSW 9 percent. The onshore sea breeze is losing its grip, so more sessions stay clean through the day. Air temperatures have cooled to 19.4°C, rainfall is still light at 0.50 mm/day, and water temp is a comfortable 17.3°C. This is a classic autumn transition month where the first significant North Pacific lows start sending long-period westerly pulses, making October an underrated month for quality surf at Manhattan Beach.
Average Spot conditions at Manhattan Beach in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manhattan Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manhattan Beach for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manhattan Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manhattan Beach.