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Mavericks • Statistics for October

Conditions at Mavericks in October

October: Autumn Transition and Building Groundswell

October is the first month where Mavericks begins to resemble its famous self. Average swell rises to 5ft (1.5m), the period expands to 12.1s, and the distribution shows more organized size in the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) range. WNW (59%) and W (26%) dominate, with WSW at 7%, providing good westerly content. The wind regime improves markedly: ideal conditions 29% of the time, with N/NE offshore breezes becoming more common as high-pressure systems settle over the West Coast. Water temp 12.8°C, air 15.1°C, precipitation returns at 0.82 mm/day. The autumn transition has begun.

Average Spot conditions at Mavericks in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mavericks during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mavericks for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mavericks for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mavericks.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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